Bundesliga
RB Leipzig - FC Augsburg
03/07/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.4
4.1
1.6
2:1
8%2:2
7%3:1
7%1:2
6%3:2
5%What influences the xG?
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
54%
Draw
21%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
92%
Under 1.5
8%
Over 2.5
77%
Under 2.5
23%
Over 3.5
58%
Under 3.5
42%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
46%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
74%
No
26%
Key Factors
- Leipzig's Home Strength: The mathematical model predicts a home win with 54% probability and 2.41 expected home goals against a weak away defense
- Historical Dominance: RB Leipzig boasts an impressive record of 3 wins and 2 draws in 5 direct encounters, with a goal difference of 15:2
- Augsburg's Current Form: Despite the challenges, FC Augsburg shows positive form with 4 wins from their last 5 games, including a current streak of 3 wins
Risk Factors
- Augsburg's Vulnerable Away Defense: FC Augsburg concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game
- Leipzig's Recent Home Draws: RB Leipzig has drawn their last two home games, both with a 2-2 scoreline
Overview
RB Leipzig (5th place, 44 points) host FC Augsburg (9th place, 31 points) at the Red Bull Arena
Bundesliga match on March 7, 2026, 3:30 PM
Leipzig is fighting for Champions League spots, while Augsburg is in the mid-table
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
RB Leipzig's form in the last five games is LWDDW
This corresponds to 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with the last game being a win
FC Augsburg's form in the last five matches is WLWWW
This includes 4 wins and 1 loss, with a current streak of 3 consecutive wins
Statistics
RB Leipzig has scored an average of 1.92 goals per game this season and conceded 1.38 goals
They have also kept 9 clean sheets and both teams scored in 14 matches
At home, RB Leipzig averages 1.93 goals scored and 1.21 goals conceded
FC Augsburg has scored an average of 1.25 goals per game this season and conceded 1.71 goals
They have kept 5 clean sheets, and both teams scored in 13 matches
Away from home, FC Augsburg averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 goals conceded
The Red Bull Arena has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of 5 matches
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches between RB Leipzig and FC Augsburg, RB Leipzig has secured 3 wins
FC Augsburg has not won any of these encounters, with 2 matches ending in a draw
RB Leipzig scored a total of 15 goals, while FC Augsburg scored 2 goals
The last encounter on October 25, 2025, ended in a 6-0 victory for RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig has been dominant in recent direct clashes
Key Players
For RB Leipzig, Christoph Baumgartner (10 goals, 7 assists, Avg 7.2) with rising form (2 goals in 90 minutes of last 5 games, Avg 9.07), Yan Diomande (9 goals, 5 assists, Avg 7.35) and Rômulo (7 goals, 5 assists, Avg 7.06) are significant
For FC Augsburg, Dimitrios Giannoulis (2 goals, 3 assists, Avg 6.96) with rising form (1 assist in 90 minutes of last 5 games, Avg 7.53), Han-Noah Massengo (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.81) with rising form (Avg 7.17 of last 5 games) and Arthur Chaves (1 goal, 0 assists, Avg 7.21) with stable form (1 goal in 221 minutes of last 5 games, Avg 7.21) are noteworthy
Goalkeepers
For RB Leipzig, Maarten Vandevoordt is expected to be in goal, who has not recorded any clean sheets in 3 season appearances
For FC Augsburg, Finn Dahmen is the listed goalkeeper, who kept 5 clean sheets in 24 season appearances
Influences
The Red Bull Arena is a venue with an average of 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 60% of the games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 60%
RB Leipzig averages 1.93 home goals scored and 1.21 home goals conceded
FC Augsburg concedes an average of 2.2 goals per away game