Bundesliga
St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt
03/08/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.8
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
St. Pauli
Eintracht Frankfurt
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
41%
Draw
28%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
59%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Pipeline analysis: The mathematical calculation predicts a home win with a 41% probability
- Current St. Pauli form: The home team shows a positive form trend with two consecutive wins
- Historical record: Eintracht Frankfurt dominates head-to-head matches with four wins in five games
Risk Factors
- Eintracht Frankfurt's defense: Eintracht concedes an average of 2.38 goals per away game
- St. Pauli's defense: St. Pauli has conceded an average of 1.67 goals per game this season
- Eintracht's injury concerns: C. Uzun (6 goals, 5 assists) and A. Knauff (4 goals, 1 assist) are missing for Eintracht Frankfurt
Overview
St. Pauli (15th place, 23 points) host Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 34 points) at the Millerntor-Stadion
Bundesliga match on March 8, 2026, 3:30 PM
St. Pauli is battling against relegation in the lower half of the table
Eintracht Frankfurt is aiming for a spot in European competitions
Form
St. Pauli shows a solid performance with form 'LWLWW' (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses) in their last five matches
The team won their last two games consecutively
Eintracht Frankfurt displays the form 'LDWLW' (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
Eintracht managed to win their last game
Statistics
St. Pauli scores an average of 0.96 goals and concedes 1.67 goals per game this season
Eintracht Frankfurt scores an average of 2.00 goals and concedes 2.04 goals per match
At home, St. Pauli scores an average of 0.93 goals and concedes 1.29 goals
Eintracht Frankfurt scores 2.00 goals and concedes 2.38 goals per away game
The Millerntor-Stadion has an average of 2.2 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the matches at the Millerntor-Stadion
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the matches at the Millerntor-Stadion
Head-to-Head
In the 5 direct encounters, St. Pauli has 0 wins, Eintracht Frankfurt has 4 wins, and there was 1 draw
The goal difference is 4:10 in favor of Eintracht Frankfurt
The last match on October 25, 2025, ended in a 2:0 away victory for Eintracht Frankfurt
Key Players
For St. Pauli, Danel Sinani (midfielder, 4 goals, 3 assists) and Manolis Saliakas (defender, 1 goal, 3 assists) are important players
Eric Smith (defender, 2 goals, 2 assists) also contributes to stability
For Eintracht Frankfurt, Jonathan Burkardt (attacker, 9 goals) and Farès Chaïbi (midfielder, 2 goals, 8 assists) stand out
Nathaniel Brown (defender, 3 goals, 5 assists) is another key performer
Goalkeepers
Nikola Vasilj is in goal for St. Pauli, keeping 4 clean sheets in 24 season appearances
Michael Zetterer is the goalkeeper for Eintracht Frankfurt, achieving 5 clean sheets in 12 appearances
Influences
The Millerntor-Stadion is known for an average of 2.2 goals per game
St. Pauli scores an average of 0.93 goals at home and concedes 1.29 goals
Eintracht Frankfurt scores 2.00 goals away and concedes 2.38 goals
The playing surface at Millerntor-Stadion is natural grass