Liga Portugal
Porto - Rio Ave
02/22/2026, 08:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.3
0.6
1:0
16%2:0
15%0:0
11%1:1
11%3:0
9%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
65%
Draw
25%
Away Win
10%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
90%
Away or Draw
35%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Key Factors
- Extreme disadvantage for Rio Ave: Due to absences, only 17% of their seasonal goal threat is available
- Classic top vs. bottom scenario: League leaders Porto in solid form meet relegation candidate Rio Ave, who are on a five-game losing streak
- Defensive contrast: Porto's outstanding defense (0.32 goals conceded/game) faces one of the league's weakest away defenses (2.09 goals conceded/game)
Risk Factors
- Porto has to manage without their top scorer S. Omorodion Aghehowa (13 goals), meaning only 63% of their season's goal production is available
- Despite dominating the season, Porto's attack has been less potent in the last three league games, scoring only one goal in each match
Overview
League leaders Porto (1st place, 59 points) host Rio Ave (15th place, 20 points) at the EstĂĄdio Do DragĂŁo
The Liga Portugal match takes place on February 22, 2026, at 8:30 PM
The signs point to a clear affair between a title contender and a relegation candidate
Form
Porto's form across all competitions: WWLDW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
In the last five games, they have recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
Rio Ave's form: LLLLL
The visitors are in a major crisis with five consecutive defeats
Statistics
Porto has the best defense in the league with only 7 goals conceded in 22 games (0.32 avg)
Offensively, the home team scores an average of 1.95 goals per game
Rio Ave is defensively vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.95 goals, and even 2.09 away
The visitors have failed to score in 9 of their 22 league matches this season
Head-to-Head
Porto is unbeaten in the last five head-to-head encounters
The record stands at 3 wins for Porto and 2 draws
The goal difference is clearly in Porto's favor at 9:3
Porto won the last meeting 3-0 away from home
Key Players
PepĂȘ has scored 2 goals and provided 4 assists this season
Gabri Veiga is an important playmaker for Porto with 1 goal and 5 assists
Alberto Costa stands out as a creator with 6 assists
For Rio Ave, Dario Spikic is notable with 2 goals this season
Andreas Ntoi has already contributed 2 assists
Marios Vrousai has been directly involved in 2 goals (1 goal, 1 assist)
Goalkeepers
Porto's goalkeeper Diogo Costa has kept a clean sheet in 16 of 22 league games this season
In contrast, Rio Ave as a team has only managed 2 clean sheets all season, their goalkeeper is Ennio Van Der Gouw
Influences
Porto is a force at the EstĂĄdio Do DragĂŁo, having scored 20 goals and conceded only 3 in 10 home games
The last five matches at this stadium have averaged 3.0 goals per game
Both teams scored in 3 of Porto's last 5 home matches