Liga Portugal
Benfica - AVS
02/21/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.1
2.8
0.7
2:0
13%1:1
10%2:1
9%3:0
9%3:1
7%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
68%
Draw
21%
Away Win
10%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
31%
Under 3.5
69%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
90%
Away or Draw
32%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Key Factors
- Class difference in the table: Benfica (3rd) is superior to the bottom team AVS (18th) in all aspects, reflected in the goal difference of +33 to -36
- Offensive dominance vs. defensive vulnerability: Benfica's attack (2.09 goals/game) meets the league's weakest defense (2.45 goals conceded/game)
- Historical superiority: Benfica is unbeaten in head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 10-1, reinforcing their favorite status
Risk Factors
- Personnel concerns for Benfica: Several players, including G. Prestianni Gross and F. Aursnes, are out due to suspensions and injuries
- Improving form for AVS: The visitors won their last match and, according to statistics, have been scoring more frequently recently (1.4 goals/game) than their season average (0.82)
Overview
Benfica (3rd place, 52 points) hosts AVS (18th place, 8 points) at the EstĂĄdio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
The Liga Portugal match takes place on February 21, 2026, 7:00 PM
The roles are clearly defined: a title contender meets the bottom team of the league
Form
Benfica form: WDWWL (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss from the last 5 matches)
AVS form: LDLLW (1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from the last 5 matches)
The form curve clearly favors the home team, even though they lost their last game
AVS surprisingly won their last match
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Benfica has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.09 goals per game
AVS has the weakest defense, with 2.45 goals conceded per game
AVS is particularly vulnerable away from home, conceding an average of 3.1 goals per match
In contrast, Benfica is very strong at home, scoring an average of 2.08 goals
Head-to-Head
In the 3 previous head-to-head encounters, Benfica is unbeaten
The record stands at 2 wins for Benfica and 1 draw
The goal difference of 10:1 highlights Benfica's dominance
The last meeting ended in a clear 3-0 victory for Benfica
Key Players
Vangelis Pavlidis is the outstanding striker for Benfica with 20 goals this season
Andreas Schjelderup has recently shown rising form
NicolĂĄs Otamendi organizes Benfica's defense
For AVS, Diego Ariel Duarte Gårcete (3 goals) and Tomané (2 goals) are the most dangerous attackers
Goalkeepers
The goalkeepers' duel is between Anatoliy Trubin (Benfica) and Adriel (AVS)
Statistics clearly favor Trubin and the Benfica defense, who have kept 11 clean sheets this season
AVS, on the other hand, has managed only one clean sheet
Influences
Benfica enjoys a clear home advantage
The EstĂĄdio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica has recently been a venue for high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals in the last 5 matches
In 4 of these 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored