Liga Portugal
Estoril - Gil Vicente
02/22/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.6
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
31%
Draw
29%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
69%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- Strong offense meets a rock-solid defense: Estoril's high-scoring attack (1.95 goals/game) has to break down the league's best defense (Gil Vicente, 0.82 goals conceded/game)
- Clear form advantage for the visitors: Gil Vicente arrives with a three-game winning streak, while Estoril's positive run was recently halted
- Historical record: The head-to-head history and the last match (2-0) clearly favor Gil Vicente, which could be a psychological advantage
Risk Factors
- Gil Vicente is competing with reduced goal threat, as only 67% of their seasonal goal contributions are in the squad
- Estoril's defense is a weak point, conceding an average of 1.73 goals per game this season
Overview
Estoril, in 9th place with 30 points, hosts Gil Vicente, 5th with 40 points
The Liga Portugal match takes place on February 22, 2026, at 6:00 PM at the EstĂĄdio AntĂłnio Coimbra da Mota
The visitors aim to solidify their position in the European spots, while Estoril is secure in mid-table
Form
Estoril's form from the last five matches is WWWDL (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
Gil Vicente's form is WLWWW (4 wins, 1 loss)
The visitors are in strong form with three consecutive wins, while Estoril's winning streak recently ended
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Estoril has a strong attack, averaging 1.95 goals per game, but is also defensively vulnerable with 1.73 goals conceded
Gil Vicente is very stable defensively, conceding an average of just 0.82 goals per game, while also having a strong attack with 1.5 goals scored
Both teams scored in 13 of Estoril's 22 games, whereas this was the case in only 9 of Gil Vicente's 22 matches
Estoril's home games are particularly high-scoring, with an average of 1.92 goals scored and 1.33 conceded
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, Gil Vicente has the upper hand with 3 wins, while Estoril won only once, and one match ended in a draw
The goal difference also clearly favors the visitors at 11:6
Gil Vicente also won the last meeting 2-0
Key Players
For Estoril, Yanis Begraoui (15 season goals, 1 assist) and JoĂŁo Carvalho (6 goals, 8 assists) are the key figures in attack
Jordan Holsgrove (1 goal, 5 assists) is an important creator in midfield
For Gil Vicente, Santiago GarcĂa GonzĂĄlez (5 goals, 1 assist) and Murilo de Souza Costa (5 goals, 4 assists) are the most dangerous players
LuĂs AndrĂ© Leite Esteves (3 goals, 6 assists) directs the attacks from midfield
Goalkeepers
Joel Robles has been in goal for Estoril in all 22 season matches, keeping 3 clean sheets
For Gil Vicente, LucĂŁo is expected in goal, having played in 3 matches
Gil Vicente's team has kept a total of 10 clean sheets this season, indicating a strong defensive performance
Influences
The EstĂĄdio AntĂłnio Coimbra da Mota is known for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.4 goals in the last five matches
In 4 of these 5 home games, both teams scored and there were over 2.5 goals
Estoril has a strong home record, averaging 1.92 goals scored per game