Liga Portugal
Sporting CP - Estoril
02/27/2026, 08:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.8
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
10%2:1
10%3:0
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Sporting CP
Estoril
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
56%
Draw
26%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
44%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- Home strength vs. away weakness: Sporting is a force at home (avg 2.54 goals), while Estoril's defense is very vulnerable away (avg 2.2 goals conceded)
- Historical dominance: Sporting has won all of the last 5 encounters, with a goal difference of 13-2
- Superior defense: Despite both teams having strong attacks, Sporting's rock-solid defense (only 0.31 goals conceded at home) is the decisive factor
Risk Factors
- Estoril's dangerous attack: The visitors are currently scoring more goals (2.6 per game) than their season average (2.0) and could challenge Sporting's defense
- Slight offensive dip for Sporting: The home team's goal production of 2.0 goals in recent games is slightly below their season average of 2.5
Overview
Sporting CP (2nd place, 58 points) hosts Estoril (7th place, 33 points) at the Estádio José Alvalade
Liga Portugal match on February 27, 2026, 9:45 PM
Sporting are clear favorites in the title race, while Estoril is fighting for an upper mid-table position
Form
Sporting CP form: WWDWW
In the last 5 games, Sporting has secured 4 wins and 1 draw, remaining unbeaten
The team is currently on a 2-game winning streak
Estoril form: WWDLW
Estoril has recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches
The visitors' form is good, but less consistent than the home team's
Statistics
Sporting CP has one of the strongest attacks in the league, averaging 2.55 goals per game
Their defense is outstanding, especially at home with only 0.31 goals conceded per game
Estoril also has a strong offense with 2.0 goals per game, including away matches
However, Estoril's defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 2.2 goals per away game
In the last 5 home games at the Estádio José Alvalade, there has been an average of 2.8 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head encounters, Sporting CP has won all 5 matches
The goal difference is 13-2 in favor of Sporting
The last meeting ended in a 1-0 victory for Sporting
Sporting CP shows clear historical dominance in this fixture
Key Players
Luis Suárez is Sporting's top scorer with 19 goals this season
Francisco Trincão has contributed 8 assists and is a key playmaker
Defender Maxi Araújo shows consistent performances and is also involved offensively
Yanis Begraoui is the main threat for Estoril with an impressive 17 goals this season
João Carvalho is the creative mind in midfield with 6 goals and 10 assists
Alejandro Marqués has proven his goal-scoring ability in recent matches
Goalkeepers
Sporting's goalkeeper Rui Silva has kept 11 clean sheets this season
Estoril's goalkeeper Joel Robles has achieved 3 clean sheets
Statistically, Rui Silva, supported by a strong defense, has significantly better figures
Influences
Sporting CP has a massive home advantage, with 33 goals scored and only 4 conceded in 13 home games
The Estádio José Alvalade has recently been a high-scoring venue, with 4 of the last 5 games having over 2.5 goals
Both teams are used to the grass surface, which provides no particular advantage