Liga Portugal
Santa Clara - Vitória Guimarães
03/08/2026, 08:30 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
2.3
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
13%0:0
12%0:2
10%1:2
9%What influences the xG?
Santa Clara
Vitória Guimarães
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
21%
Draw
30%
Away Win
49%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
20%
Under 3.5
80%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
51%
Away or Draw
79%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Key Factors
- Pipeline's favoritism: Vitória Guimarães has a 49% win probability, Santa Clara only 21%
- Form and table: Vitória Guimarães is in 9th place, Santa Clara in 16th with 0 wins in their last 5 games
- Historical dominance: Vitória Guimarães won 4 out of 5 direct encounters
Risk Factors
- Squad impact: Santa Clara has only 67% of usual starting XI goal threat without Vinícius Lopes (5G/1A)
- Away weakness: Vitória Guimarães concedes an average of 2.11 goals per away game
- Offensive efficiency: Santa Clara has an average of only 3.4 shots on target
Overview
Santa Clara (16th place, 19 points) hosts Vitória Guimarães (9th place, 32 points) at the Estádio de São Miguel. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 8, 2026, at 9:30 PM. Vitória Guimarães is considered the favorite according to mathematical analysis with a 49% win probability, while Santa Clara has a 21% win probability and a draw is rated at 30%. Santa Clara needs crucial points in the relegation battle, while Vitória Guimarães aims to consolidate its position in the upper mid-table.
Form
Santa Clara's form in the last five Liga Portugal matches was LLLDD. The home team recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Their last match ended in a draw, as did the one before. Vitória Guimarães' form in their last five matches was WLWLD. The away team achieved 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Vitória Guimarães' last encounter ended in a draw. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Santa Clara has scored an average of 0.83 goals per game this season and conceded 1.29 goals per game. At home, the average was 0.83 goals scored and 1.17 goals conceded per game. The team kept 5 clean sheets. Vitória Guimarães scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 1.46 goals per game. Away, the average was 1.11 goals scored and 2.11 goals conceded per game. They kept 7 clean sheets. At the venue, Estádio de São Miguel, an average of 2.2 total goals were scored per game, and in 2 of 5 matches, both teams scored, while in 2 of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored.
Head-to-Head
In the 5 previous Liga Portugal head-to-head matches, Santa Clara secured 1 win and Vitória Guimarães claimed 4 wins. There have been 0 draws between the two teams. Santa Clara scored a total of 3 goals, while Vitória Guimarães scored 8 goals. The last encounter on October 4, 2025, ended in a 1:2 away win for Vitória Guimarães. Vitória Guimarães has been more dominant in recent direct duels.
Key Players
For Santa Clara, Serginho with 4 goals and 2 assists, and Gabriel Silva with 3 goals, are the top scorers this season. Luis Fernando has contributed 1 goal. For Vitória Guimarães, Samu with 4 goals and 2 assists, and Noah Jose Saviolo with 2 goals and 3 assists, are important offensive players. A. Ndoye has 2 goals and 1 assist this season.
Goalkeepers
Santa Clara's goalkeeper, Gabriel Batista, played in 24 games and recorded 5 clean sheets. Charles, the goalkeeper for Vitória Guimarães, played in 9 games and achieved 7 clean sheets.
Influences
The home team Santa Clara scores an average of 0.83 goals per home game and concedes 1.17 goals. The away team Vitória Guimarães scores an average of 1.11 goals per away game and concedes 2.11 goals. The Estádio de São Miguel recorded an average of 2.2 total goals per match over 5 games. Both teams scored in 2 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches.