Liga Portugal
Sporting Braga - Sporting CP
03/07/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.7
1.4
1:1
14%1:2
8%2:1
8%0:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
Sporting Braga
Sporting CP
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
29%
Away Win
37%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
63%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis slightly favors Sporting CP with a 37% win probability, while Sporting Braga has a 34% chance of victory
- Sporting Braga shows a positive offensive form trend, with currently 2.6 goals per game compared to the season average of 2.0 goals
- Sporting CP has been more dominant in the last 5 head-to-head matches, winning 2 games while Sporting Braga did not win any
Risk Factors
- Sporting CP's goal production is currently stagnant at 2.0 goals per game compared to the season average of 2.5 goals, indicating a negative form trend
- Sporting Braga will be without A. El Ouazzani (Metatarsal Fracture), G. Baptiste (Unknown Injury), S. Niakate (Unknown Injury), L. Barišić (Adductor Injury), and V. Carvalho Vieira (Unknown Injury)
- There is limited data available for the duel statistics of the last 5 games
Overview
Sporting Braga (4th place, 45 points) host Sporting CP (2nd place, 61 points) at Estádio Municipal de Braga
Liga Portugal match on March 7, 2026, 7:00 PM
Sporting CP is fighting for the top spot
Sporting Braga aims for a European qualification place
Form
Sporting Braga's current form is WWLWW
This corresponds to 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss from the last 5 games
Sporting CP shows a form of WDWWW
This means 4 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses in the last 5 matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Sporting Braga has won the last 2 games in a row
Sporting CP is unbeaten in 3 consecutive matches
Statistics
Sporting Braga scores an average of 2.08 goals per home game and concedes 0.75 goals
The team kept 5 clean sheets at home
Sporting CP scores an average of 2.60 goals per away game and concedes 0.80 goals
Sporting CP kept 4 clean sheets away from home
At Estádio Municipal de Braga, an average of 3.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting Braga secured 0 wins
Sporting CP won 2 games, 3 ended in a draw
The goal difference is 5:12 in favor of Sporting CP
The last encounter on October 5, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
Sporting CP has been more dominant in recent encounters
Key Players
For Sporting Braga, Ricardo Horta is crucial with 12 goals and 4 assists this season
He showed rising form in the last 5 games with 4 goals and 2 assists
Rodrigo Zalazar scored 13 goals and provided 3 assists this season
Pau Víctor contributed 6 goals and 4 assists and is in rising form
Not nominated: Gabri Martínez (0G/3A)
For Sporting CP, Luis Suárez is the top scorer with 22 goals and 4 assists
Pedro Gonçalves scored 10 goals and 5 assists
Francisco Trincão managed 5 goals and 10 assists
Goalkeepers
Lukas Hornicek of Sporting Braga has kept 5 clean sheets in home games this season
Rui Silva of Sporting CP has kept 4 clean sheets in away games
Influences
Sporting Braga shows strong offensive performance at home with an average of 2.08 goals and solid defense with 0.75 goals conceded
Estádio Municipal de Braga is known for high-scoring games
An average of 3.6 goals per game were scored
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games