Liga Portugal
Benfica - Porto
03/08/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.3
1.1
1:1
15%0:0
12%1:0
11%0:1
9%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Benfica
Porto
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
32%
Away Win
30%
Goals
Over 1.5
68%
Under 1.5
32%
Over 2.5
40%
Under 2.5
60%
Over 3.5
19%
Under 3.5
81%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
70%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- Benfica's Home Strength and Head-to-Head: 3 wins in the last 5 direct duels and an average of 2.15 home goals
- Porto's Exceptional Defense: Only 0.33 goals conceded per game this season, 17 clean sheets
- Pipeline Forecast: Benfica has a 38% chance of a home win according to mathematical analysis
Risk Factors
- Benfica's goal average recently decreased from 1.9 to 1.6
- Porto's goal average recently decreased from 1.9 to 1.4
Overview
Benfica (3rd place, 58 points) host league leaders Porto (1st place, 65 points) at the EstĂĄdio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
This Liga Portugal match takes place on March 8, 2026, at 6:00 PM
For Benfica, it's about closing the gap to the top and maintaining their unbeaten season record
Form
Benfica's form in the last five matches is WLWLW
This corresponds to 3 wins and 2 losses
Porto's form in the last five matches is LDWWW
This represents 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Both teams won their last league match
Statistics
Benfica scores an average of 2.13 goals per season and concedes 0.58 goals
At home, they average 2.15 goals scored and 0.62 goals conceded
Porto scores an average of 1.96 goals and concedes only 0.33 goals per game
Away, the figures are 1.92 goals scored and 0.33 goals conceded
Benfica has 12 clean sheets, Porto has an impressive 17
At the EstĂĄdio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, an average of 3.4 goals per game are scored
Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 direct encounters, Benfica recorded 3 wins, Porto 1 win, and there was 1 draw
Benfica scored a total of 9 goals, while Porto scored 7 goals
The last encounter on October 5, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
Recent results show a dominance by Benfica in these matchups
Key Players
Vangelis Pavlidis is Benfica's top scorer with 21 season goals and 4 assists, averaging a rating of 7.38
NicolĂĄs Otamendi is an important defensive player with a season rating of 7.34
Richard RĂos shows a rising form with a rating of 7.54 in the last 5 games and a season average rating of 7.00
For Porto, Jan Bednarek stands out with 1 season goal and a current form rating of 7.38
Gabri Veiga has contributed 1 goal and 5 assists to the offense so far
Martim Fernandes scored 1 goal in his last 5 games and played all matches
Goalkeepers
Anatoliy Trubin (22 appearances, avg rating 6.76) is in goal for Benfica, keeping 12 clean sheets with his team
Porto's goalkeeper Diogo Costa (24 appearances, avg rating 6.94) achieved an impressive 17 clean sheets with his team
Influences
Benfica's home record is very strong, with an average of 2.15 goals scored and only 0.62 goals conceded
The EstĂĄdio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica tends to favor high-scoring games, with an average of 3.4 goals per match
The pitch surface is natural grass