Liga Portugal
Santa Clara - Gil Vicente
03/21/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.4
1.4
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
11%1:2
9%0:2
9%What influences the xG?
Santa Clara
Gil Vicente
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
27%
Draw
31%
Away Win
43%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
30%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
57%
Away or Draw
73%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Key Factors
- Gil Vicente holds a clear lead in the league table in 5th place compared to Santa Clara in 14th place
- Gil Vicente shows a stronger offense with an average of 1.55 away goals compared to Santa Clara's 0.86 home goals
- The mathematical analysis predicts an away win for Gil Vicente with 43% probability
Risk Factors
- Santa Clara's offense generates an average of only 3.0 shots on target
- The mathematical analysis shows a high probability for a draw of 31%
- Santa Clara has achieved two wins and two draws in the last five games, including two consecutive wins
Overview
Santa Clara (14th place, 25 points) host Gil Vicente (5th place, 42 points) at Estádio de São Miguel
This Liga Portugal match is on March 21, 2026, 7:00 PM
Santa Clara battles against relegation, while Gil Vicente aims to solidify its position in the European qualification spots
Form
The form of both teams shows different tendencies
Santa Clara is unbeaten in four games with the form LDDWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The home team achieved 2 wins and 2 draws, including two consecutive wins recently
Gil Vicente presents itself less stable with the form WLLDD (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
The visitors recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in their last five games, including two consecutive draws recently
Statistics
Santa Clara scores an average of 0.86 home goals per game and concedes an average of 1.0 home goals
The team kept 5 clean sheets in home games
Gil Vicente is stronger offensively away from home with an average of 1.55 away goals, but concedes 1.36 goals per away game
The Estádio de São Miguel averages 2.6 goals per game
In 2 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 2 out of 5 games, more than 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters so far, there have been no draws
Santa Clara won 3 of these matches, while Gil Vicente won 2 times
The goal difference of 6:5 goals slightly favors Santa Clara
The last encounter on November 3, 2025, ended with a 0:1 away win for Gil Vicente
The historical record indicates a home dominance
Key Players
For Santa Clara, Serginho (4 goals, 2 assists), Gabriel Silva (4 goals), and Gustavo Klismahn (1 assist) are key players
Serginho shows a stable form trend
Gabriel Silva and Gustavo Klismahn are in action, with Klismahn showing a rising form trend
For Gil Vicente, Murilo de Souza Costa (7 goals, 4 assists), Luís André Leite Esteves (3 goals, 7 assists), and Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela (4 goals, 2 assists) stand out
Murilo de Souza Costa and Gustavo Miguel Pereira de Sousa Varela show a rising form trend
Luís André Leite Esteves is in stable form
Goalkeepers
Goalkeeper Gabriel Batista of Santa Clara recorded 7 clean sheets in 26 appearances
Lucão of Gil Vicente kept 5 clean sheets in 7 appearances
Influences
Santa Clara averages 0.86 goals scored at home and concedes 1.0 goals
Gil Vicente scores 1.55 goals away and concedes 1.36 goals
The Estádio de São Miguel has an average of 2.6 goals per game
At this venue, both teams scored in 40% of the games, and 40% of the games had over 2.5 goals