Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund - FC Augsburg
03/14/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.4
3.6
1.2
2:1
9%3:1
8%3:0
6%2:2
6%4:1
5%What influences the xG?
Borussia Dortmund
FC Augsburg
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
64%
Draw
20%
Away Win
16%
Goals
Over 1.5
89%
Under 1.5
11%
Over 2.5
70%
Under 2.5
30%
Over 3.5
49%
Under 3.5
51%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
84%
Away or Draw
36%
No Draw
80%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 64% for Borussia Dortmund
- Borussia Dortmund's home offense averages 2.15 goals scored and concedes only 0.85 goals
- FC Augsburg concedes an average of 2.18 goals per away game
Risk Factors
- Borussia Dortmund's goal production is currently stagnating with 1.6 goals compared to the season average of 2.1 goals
- The home team achieved an average of only 3.2 shots on target per game
Overview
Borussia Dortmund (2nd place, 55 points) host FC Augsburg (9th place, 31 points) at Signal Iduna Park. Bundesliga match on March 14, 2026, 3:30 PM. BVB aims to solidify their position in the top group, while Augsburg wants to maintain distance from the relegation zone
Form
Borussia Dortmund's form across all competitions is WDLLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses). Their last result was a Win (W). The form trend is negative, with goal production stagnating at 1.6 goals, compared to the season average of 2.1. FC Augsburg shows LWWWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses). Their last result was a Loss (L). Their form trend is stable, with consistent ~1.3 goals per game
Statistics
Borussia Dortmund scored 2.12 goals and conceded 1.04 goals per game this season. At home, they score 2.15 goals while conceding only 0.85 goals. They kept 11 clean sheets. Augsburg averages 1.24 goals and 1.72 goals conceded. Away, they score 1.27 goals and concede a high 2.18 goals per game. They recorded 5 clean sheets. At Signal Iduna Park, an average of 3.6 goals per game are scored. In 2/5 games, both teams scored, and in 3/5, over 2.5 goals were scored
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, there were 2 wins each for Borussia Dortmund and FC Augsburg, and 1 draw. Dortmund scored 8 goals, Augsburg 5. The last encounter on October 31, 2025, ended in a 1-0 victory for Borussia Dortmund. The recent record is even
Key Players
Dortmund's Maximilian Beier is important with 8 goals and 4 assists (Rating 6.88). Julian Ryerson (11 seasonal assists, 3 assists in the last 5 games, Rating 9.16) shows a rising form trend. Nico Schlotterbeck contributed 4 goals and 1 assist (Rating 7.38). Augsburg's Alexis Claude-Maurice (4 goals, 5 assists, Rating 7.11) is a key player. Fabian Rieder provided 3 goals and 3 assists. Rodrigo Ribeiro scored 2 goals in 5 appearances (Rating 7.01)
Goalkeepers
Gregor Kobel (Borussia Dortmund) kept 11 clean sheets. Finn Dahmen (FC Augsburg) recorded 5 clean sheets
Influences
Borussia Dortmund shows strong home performance with an average of 2.15 goals scored and only 0.85 goals conceded. At Signal Iduna Park, an average of 3.6 goals per game are scored. In 2/5 games, both teams scored, and in 3/5, over 2.5 goals were scored