Liga Portugal
Estoril - Rio Ave
03/22/2026, 03:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.2
0.6
1:0
16%2:0
14%0:0
13%1:1
12%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Estoril
Rio Ave
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
58%
Draw
28%
Away Win
13%
Goals
Over 1.5
65%
Under 1.5
35%
Over 2.5
37%
Under 2.5
63%
Over 3.5
18%
Under 3.5
82%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
87%
Away or Draw
42%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
38%
No
62%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Estoril has a 58% win probability
- Home strength vs. Away weakness: Estoril's home offense (Avg. 1.86 goals) meets Rio Ave's weak away defense (Avg. 1.85 goals conceded)
- Head-to-head record: Estoril dominated the last 5 encounters with 3 wins and 2 draws
Risk Factors
- Estoril's goal production is currently faltering (Avg. 1.0 goals), while the season average is Avg. 1.9 goals
- Rio Ave scores consistently (Avg. 1.0 goals per game), according to Advanced Stats
- K. Boma (Estoril) is injured (Muscle Injury), B. Aguilera Zamora (Rio Ave) is injured (Cruciate Ligament Tear)
Overview
Estoril (7th place, 37 points) host Rio Ave (14th place, 27 points) at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 22, 2026, 4:30 PM. Estoril aims to solidify its position in the upper mid-table, while Rio Ave fights against relegation.
Form
Estoril's Liga Portugal form is LWLDW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last 5 matches
Their last appearance was a 1-0 away win against Nacional
Rio Ave shows a form of LLDWW, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Their last game ended in a 2-1 home win against Estrela Amadora
Estoril's goal production is faltering (Avg. 1.0 goals recently), while their season average is Avg. 1.9 goals
Statistics
Estoril scores an average of 1.81 goals per game and concedes 1.62 goals
At home, these values improve to Avg. 1.86 goals scored and Avg. 1.21 goals conceded
Rio Ave scores an average of 1.0 goals per game and concedes 1.73 goals
Away, the average is Avg. 1.0 goals scored and Avg. 1.85 goals conceded
Historically, games at the Estádio António Coimbra da Mota average 3.8 goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Estoril dominated with 3 wins, while Rio Ave remained winless with 2 draws
Estoril scored a total of 11 goals, Rio Ave 4 goals in these encounters
The last meeting saw Estoril win 4-0 on November 1, 2025
Key Players
Yanis Begraoui, Estoril's attacker, scored 17 season goals and 1 assist, but shows a declining form trend
João Carvalho, Estoril's midfielder, contributed 6 goals and 11 assists, with stable form
Jalen Blesa, Rio Ave's attacker, scored 4 times, his form is stable
Andreas Ntoi, Rio Ave's defender, provided 2 assists and shows a rising form trend
Goalkeepers
Estoril's goalkeeper Joel Robles recorded 5 clean sheets this season
Ennio Van Der Gouw, Rio Ave's goalkeeper, achieved 4 clean sheets
Influences
Estoril shows a clear home advantage with Avg. 1.86 goals scored and Avg. 1.21 goals conceded in home games
Rio Ave concedes Avg. 1.85 goals away, which weakens their defense
The Estádio António Coimbra da Mota is known for high-scoring encounters with an average of 3.8 goals per game
80% of matches at this stadium saw both teams score