Liga Portugal
Sporting Braga - Porto
03/22/2026, 08:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.7
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Sporting Braga
Porto
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
29%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
77%
Under 1.5
23%
Over 2.5
51%
Under 2.5
49%
Over 3.5
29%
Under 3.5
71%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Porto's Defensive Strength: Porto (1st place) has conceded only 0.38 goals per game this season (0.46 away), with 18 clean sheets
- Porto's Strong Form and H2H Dominance: Porto has achieved 4 wins and 1 draw in their last 5 games, including a 3-game winning streak, and won 4 of the last 5 direct encounters
- Sporting Braga's Home Offensive Power: Sporting Braga shows consistent attacking performance at home with an average of 2.08 goals per game
Risk Factors
- Limited recovery time for Porto: Porto has had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Key players missing for Porto: Porto is missing S. Omorodion Aghehowa (13 goals, 1 assist), L. de Jong (1 goal), and N. PĂ©rez (1 goal) due to long-term injuries
Overview
Sporting Braga (4th place, 46 points) host Porto (1st place, 69 points) at the EstĂĄdio Municipal de Braga. The Liga Portugal match takes place on March 22, 2026, 9:30 PM. Porto aims to defend its league lead, while Sporting Braga seeks to solidify its 4th position.
Form
Sporting Braga's form in their last five matches across all competitions is WWDLW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss). Their last result was a 4-0 victory. Porto is in stronger form with WDWWW (4 wins, 1 draw, 0 losses) and is unbeaten in their last three games. Their latest win was a 2-0 scoreline.
Statistics
Sporting Braga averages 2.08 goals scored and 1.00 goal conceded per game this season. At home, these figures are 2.08 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded. Porto averages 2.00 goals scored and only 0.38 goals conceded per game. Away from home, their average is 1.92 goals scored and 0.46 goals conceded. Sporting Braga has kept 9 clean sheets this season, while Porto has 18. The venue has seen an average of 4.2 total goals in the last 5 games, with both teams scoring in 40% of matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 100% of games. The mathematical analysis predicts 1.41 goals for Sporting Braga and 1.30 goals for Porto.
Head-to-Head
In the last five direct encounters, Porto dominated with 4 wins, while Sporting Braga secured 1 win. There were no draws. Porto scored a total of 7 goals and Sporting Braga 3 goals in these matches. The last meeting on November 2, 2025, ended with a 2-1 victory for Porto.
Key Players
For Sporting Braga, key players in the starting lineup include Rodrigo Zalazar (14 goals, 4 assists), Ricardo Horta (13 goals, 4 assists), and Pau VĂctor (6 goals, 4 assists). For Porto, Victor Froholdt (4 goals, 6 assists), Gabri Veiga (2 goals, 6 assists), and PepĂȘ (2 goals, 4 assists) are among the crucial players in their starting formation.
Goalkeepers
Sporting Braga's goalkeeper, Lukas Hornicek, has kept 9 clean sheets this season. Porto's goalkeeper, Diogo Costa, achieved 18 clean sheets this campaign.
Influences
The EstĂĄdio Municipal de Braga, a grass pitch, has shown to be high-scoring in the last 5 games with an average of 4.2 goals per match. Both teams scored in 40% of matches, and over 2.5 goals occurred in 100% of games. Sporting Braga has a strong home record with an average of 2.08 goals scored and only 0.85 goals conceded. Porto displays a very good away offense with 1.92 goals per game and an outstanding defense with only 0.46 goals conceded per away game.