Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach - St. Pauli
03/13/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
7%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Borussia Mönchengladbach
St. Pauli
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
29%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
74%
Under 1.5
26%
Over 2.5
47%
Under 2.5
53%
Over 3.5
25%
Under 3.5
75%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Key Factors
- St. Pauli's positive form trend is on the rise (1.3 goals recently vs. 1.1 season average), while Gladbach's goal production is stagnant (0.8 goals recently vs. 1.3 season average)
- The pipeline analysis favors Borussia Mönchengladbach with a home win probability of 46%
- St. Pauli concedes an average of 2.00 goals away from home, indicating vulnerability on the road
Risk Factors
- Borussia Mönchengladbach's goal production is currently stagnating (0.8 goals) compared to their season average (1.3 goals)
- St. Pauli employs a counter-attacking approach with an average of 34% possession and 3.4 shots on target per game
Overview
Borussia Mönchengladbach (12th place, 25 points) host St. Pauli (16th place, 24 points) at Stadion im Borussia-Park
The Bundesliga match takes place on March 13, 2026, 8:30 PM
Both teams are involved in a relegation battle, with St. Pauli in a playoff spot
Form
Borussia Mönchengladbach's form across all competitions shows DLLWL
The team recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in their last five games
Their most recent result was a loss
St. Pauli's form across all competitions is WLWWD
The visitors achieved 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last five matches
St. Pauli's most recent game was a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored an average of 1.12 goals and conceded 1.72 goals per game this season
At home, Gladbach scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 1.75 goals
St. Pauli scored an average of 0.92 goals and conceded 1.6 goals per game this season
Away from home, St. Pauli conceded an average of 2.00 goals and scored 0.91 goals
At Stadion im Borussia-Park, the last 5 games saw an average of 2.8 total goals
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and 3 of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 direct encounters, the record is balanced with 2 wins for Borussia Mönchengladbach, 2 wins for St. Pauli, and 1 draw
The goal difference stands at 9:6 in favor of Gladbach
The last meeting saw Borussia Mönchengladbach win clearly with a 4:0 score on November 1, 2025
Key Players
For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic is the top scorer with 11 season goals and 2 assists
Kevin Diks contributed 4 goals
Yannik Engelhardt showed rising form in the last 5 games with 1 goal
Not nominated: Franck Honorat (0G/5A), Rocco Reitz (0G/2A)
For St. Pauli, Danel Sinani is an important attacking player with 4 goals and 3 assists and showed rising form in the last 5 games
Joel Chima Fujita provided 1 goal and 3 assists
Eric Smith scored 2 goals and 2 assists
Not nominated: Manolis Saliakas (1G/3A), Martijn Kaars (3G/0A)
Goalkeepers
Borussia Mönchengladbach's goalkeeper Moritz Nicolas kept 9 clean sheets this season
Nikola Vasilj of St. Pauli recorded 5 clean sheets
Influences
Borussia Mönchengladbach scored an average of 1.17 goals and conceded 1.75 goals at home
St. Pauli conceded an average of 2.00 goals when playing away
Stadion im Borussia-Park has seen an average of 2.8 goals per game in the last 5 matches