Liga Portugal
Tondela - Gil Vicente
04/13/2026, 07:15 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
2.6
1.7
1:1
13%0:2
11%1:2
10%0:3
6%1:3
6%What influences the xG?
Tondela
Gil Vicente
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
17%
Draw
26%
Away Win
57%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
43%
Away or Draw
83%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Gil Vicente shows significantly stronger performance this season with an average of 1.50 goals scored and only 1.00 goal conceded compared to Tondela's 0.70 goals and 1.63 goals conceded
- Gil Vicente averaged 4.6 shots on target in their last 5 games, while Tondela averaged 3.0 shots on target
- The mathematical analysis shows a clear 57% probability for an away win for Gil Vicente
Risk Factors
- Tondela scores only an average of 0.69 goals per home game
- Tondela recorded an average of only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Tondela (17th place, 20 points) host Gil Vicente (6th place, 45 points) at Estádio João Cardoso
Liga Portugal match on April 13, 2026, 8:15 PM
The hosts are fighting against relegation, while Gil Vicente aims to defend its position in the upper half of the table
Form
Tondela's form across all competitions is WDLDL
This corresponds to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last match was a 0-5 loss against Vitória Guimarães
Gil Vicente's form is LDDLW, which means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Gil Vicente won their last match 3-0 against AVS
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Tondela scores an average of 0.70 goals per game and concedes 1.63 goals per game
At home, these values are 0.69 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded
Tondela kept 5 clean sheets and saw both teams score in 9 matches
Gil Vicente scores an average of 1.50 goals and concedes 1.00 goal per game
Away from home, they score 1.55 goals and concede 1.45 goals
Gil Vicente kept 11 clean sheets and saw both teams score in 13 matches
The Estádio João Cardoso sees an average of 1.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and 1 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
There has been 1 head-to-head match between these teams in Liga Portugal
The last encounter took place on November 29, 2025, where Gil Vicente lost 0-1 at home against Tondela
Key Players
For Tondela, Maranhão in attack is a key figure with 6 season goals and 1 assist, his average rating is 6.97
Defender Bebeto scored 2 season goals with a rating of 6.74 and shows rising form
In midfield, Joe Hodge contributed 1 assist with an average rating of 6.68
For Gil Vicente, Luís André Leite Esteves in midfield stands out with 3 goals and 8 assists and a rating of 7.23
Santiago García González, also in midfield, has 6 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 7.15
In attack, Murilo de Souza Costa is an important player with 8 goals and 4 assists and a rating of 6.97
Goalkeepers
Bernardo is Tondela's goalkeeper and has 5 clean sheets this season
Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira is Gil Vicente's goalkeeper
Gil Vicente as a team has completed 11 clean sheets this season
Influences
Tondela scores an average of 0.69 goals at home and concedes 1.31 goals, suggesting a defensive home strength
The Estádio João Cardoso sees an average of 1.4 goals per game
Statistics show both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and only 1 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals