Liga Portugal
Santa Clara - Rio Ave
04/11/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
0.9
1.9
1.0
0:0
17%1:1
15%0:1
13%1:0
12%0:2
7%What influences the xG?
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
35%
Away Win
33%
Goals
Over 1.5
58%
Under 1.5
42%
Over 2.5
30%
Under 2.5
70%
Over 3.5
13%
Under 3.5
87%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
67%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
65%
Both Score
Yes
39%
No
61%
Key Factors
- Balanced Prediction: The mathematical model predicts a very close match, with similar win probabilities for both teams and a slightly higher chance of a draw (35%)
- Tactical Offensive Advantage: Rio Ave averaged 5.0 shots on target in their last 5 games, showing a more potent attack compared to Santa Clara's average of 3.4 shots on target
- Both Teams' Form Surge: Both teams show a positive form trend with increased goal production in recent matches compared to their season average
Risk Factors
- Limited Scoring Opportunities: Santa Clara averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 matches
Overview
Santa Clara (13th place, 28 points) host Rio Ave (12th place, 30 points) at Estádio de São Miguel. This Liga Portugal match takes place on April 11, 2026, 6:00 PM. Both teams are in the lower mid-table, with Rio Ave holding a two-point advantage. The objective is to further distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Form
Santa Clara's current form is DWWWL in their last five matches, which equates to 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Rio Ave also has a form of DWWWL, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss from their last five games. Santa Clara's last defeat was a 2-4 against Sporting CP, while Rio Ave recently lost 1-2 against Alverca. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
Santa Clara averages 0.93 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.25 goals. At home, they average 0.93 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per home game, with 6 clean sheets at home. Rio Ave averages 1.04 goals scored and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Away from home, Rio Ave scores 1.07 goals and concedes 1.79 goals, with 2 clean sheets on the road. At Estádio de São Miguel, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the three head-to-head encounters between the two teams, Santa Clara recorded one win, while there were two draws, and Rio Ave remained without a victory. Santa Clara scored a total of 3 goals, Rio Ave 2. The last meeting on November 30, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. Santa Clara has been more dominant in recent direct comparisons.
Key Players
For Santa Clara, Serginho is key with 4 goals and 2 assists at an average rating of 6.96, Gabriel Silva with 4 goals at an average rating of 6.87, and Gustavo Klismahn with 1 goal and 1 assist at an average rating of 6.90. For Rio Ave, Dario Spikic stands out with 2 goals and 3 assists at an average rating of 6.71, Marios Vrousai with 1 goal and 1 assist at an average rating of 7.01, and Jakub Brabec with 1 goal at an average rating of 6.84. Jalen Blesa (6 goals/0 assists) is not listed in the squad.
Goalkeepers
Santa Clara's goalkeeper is Gabriel Batista, who contributed to 8 clean sheets this season. For Rio Ave, Ennio Van Der Gouw is in goal. Rio Ave has recorded a total of 4 clean sheets this season.
Influences
The home team Santa Clara averages 0.93 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded per home game. The grass surface is not expected to have any specific impact. At Estádio de São Miguel, an average of 2.6 goals are scored per game. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 matches.