Liga Portugal
Rio Ave - AVS
04/17/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.3
2.0
0.7
1:0
17%0:0
16%1:1
14%2:0
12%2:1
8%What influences the xG?
Rio Ave
AVS
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
32%
Away Win
18%
Goals
Over 1.5
60%
Under 1.5
40%
Over 2.5
31%
Under 2.5
69%
Over 3.5
14%
Under 3.5
86%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
82%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
68%
Both Score
Yes
37%
No
63%
Key Factors
- Favorite role: The mathematical analysis predicts a 50% win probability for Rio Ave
- Form advantage: Rio Ave shows strong form with 4 wins in the last 5 games, while AVS is winless in 5 games
- Defensive weakness: AVS is defensively vulnerable away from home, conceding Avg. 3.08 goals per game, while Rio Ave's offense has recently strengthened
Risk Factors
- Limited goal opportunities: AVS has recently adopted a counter-attacking approach, averaging only Avg. 2.6 shots on target
- Low BTTS probability: According to the model, the probability of both teams scoring is only 37%
Overview
Rio Ave (11th place, 33 points) host AVS (18th place, 12 points) at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
The Liga Portugal match takes place on April 17, 2026, 8:45 PM
Rio Ave aims to consolidate its position in the midfield
AVS, as the bottom team, is fighting against relegation
Form
Rio Ave's form in the last five games is "WWWLW"
This corresponds to 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss
The mathematical analysis shows Rio Ave currently scores more frequently (Avg. 1.6 goals) than their season average (Avg. 1.2 goals), indicating a positive trend
AVS shows a form of "DLDLD" in their last five matches
This corresponds to 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses
AVS's goal production is stagnant (Avg. 0.3 goals), with the season average at Avg. 0.7 goals, indicating a negative trend
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Rio Ave scored 31 goals this season (Avg. 1.07 goals per game) and conceded 48 goals (Avg. 1.66 goals per game)
At home, Rio Ave averages 1.08 goals scored and 1.77 goals conceded
AVS is the weakest offensive team in the league with an average of Avg. 0.66 goals per game and conceded a total of 62 goals (Avg. 2.14 goals per game)
Away from home, AVS is particularly vulnerable defensively, conceding an average of Avg. 3.08 goals per game
Rio Ave kept 5 clean sheets, while AVS kept 4 clean sheets
At Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, an average of 2.4 goals were scored in the last 5 matches
In 60% of these games, both teams scored, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, there has been 1 win for Rio Ave and 1 win for AVS, with 1 draw
The goal difference is even at 3:3 goals
Rio Ave won the last encounter away with a score of 2:1 on December 6, 2025
The overall head-to-head record is balanced
Key Players
For Rio Ave, Jalen Blesa (Attacker) is notable with 6 season goals (5 goals in the last 5 games) and rising form
Dario Spikic (Attacker) contributed 2 season goals and 3 assists (3 assists in the last 5 games) and shows rising form
Marios Vrousai (Defender) contributed 1 season goal and 2 assists (1 assist in the last 5 games) with similarly rising form
For AVS, Tomané (Attacker) is the top scorer with 3 season goals (1 goal in the last 5 games) and stable form
Pedro Lima Barros (Midfielder) contributed 1 season goal and 2 assists and shows rising form
Óscar Perea (Attacker) scored 2 season goals with stable form
Goalkeepers
Rio Ave's goalkeeper Cezary Miszta played in 17 season games and achieved 5 clean sheets
For AVS, Adriel played in 12 season games and achieved 4 clean sheets
Influences
Rio Ave shows an average home goal production of Avg. 1.08 goals and concedes Avg. 1.77 goals
AVS concedes an average of Avg. 3.08 goals per away game
An average of 2.4 goals per game are scored at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
In 60% of the last games, both teams scored, and 80% ended with over 2.5 goals