Liga Portugal
Benfica - Sporting Braga
05/11/2026, 07:15 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
2.7
0.9
1:1
12%2:0
11%2:1
10%3:0
7%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Benfica
Sporting Braga
The Lab
- 1Benfica: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 2Sporting Braga: first goal in 6 of 8 games (75%)
- 3Sporting Braga with Víctor Gómez: 2 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Benfica: 5 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
- 5Benfica: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
59%
Draw
25%
Away Win
16%
Goals
Over 1.5
76%
Under 1.5
24%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%
Over 3.5
28%
Under 3.5
72%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
84%
Away or Draw
41%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis forecasts a home win with 59%
- Offensive strength: Benfica currently scores more often (2.2 goals on average) than their season average (2.0 goals)
- Home strength: Benfica boasts an impressive home offense (2.17 goals/game) and defense (0.61 goals conceded/game)
Overview
Benfica (3rd place, 76 points) host Sporting Braga (4th place, 57 points) at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Liga Portugal match on May 11, 2026, 9:15 PM
Benfica aims to continue their unbeaten run and maintain the fight for the top of Liga Portugal
Form
Benfica shows strong form with "DWWWD" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last 5 games
The home team achieved 3 wins and 2 draws, with the last game ending in a draw
Sporting Braga has a mixed form of "WLWDL" (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) in their last 5 matches
The away team recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with the last game being a loss
Statistics
Benfica shows a strong offense this season with an average of 2.16 goals per game
The defense is also stable with an average of 0.69 goals conceded per game
Sporting Braga scores an average of 1.88 goals and concedes 1.00 goal per game
In home games, Benfica scores an average of 2.17 goals and concedes an average of 0.61 goals
Sporting Braga scores an average of 1.87 goals away and concedes an average of 1.07 goals
At the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica, an average of 3.4 total goals were scored in the last 5 games
Both teams scored in 2 of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In 5 recent head-to-head matches, Benfica secured 2 wins, Sporting Braga 1 win, and there were 2 draws
Benfica scored a total of 8 goals in these encounters, while Sporting Braga scored 6 goals
The last encounter on December 28, 2025, ended in a 2:2 draw
Benfica has been the more dominant team in recent direct duels
Key Players
For Benfica, Andreas Schjelderup (7 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 7.02 Rating) and Leandro Barreiro (3 goals, 5 assists, Avg. 6.91 Rating) are key players
Andreas Schjelderup shows rising form with 3 goals and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Leandro Barreiro contributed 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games and shows rising form
Franjo Ivanović has scored 6 goals and 1 assist this season, with 2 goals in the last 5 games
For Sporting Braga, Pau Víctor (8 goals, 4 assists, Avg. 6.98 Rating) stands out, scoring 2 goals in the last 5 games
Demir Ege Tıknaz (1 goal, 1 assist in the last 5 games) shows rising form
Víctor Gómez (1 goal, 3 assists this season) shows rising form with 2 assists in the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Benfica's goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin made 30 season appearances
The Benfica team kept 14 clean sheets this season
Sporting Braga's goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek made 31 season appearances
The Sporting Braga team kept 12 clean sheets this season
Influences
Benfica benefits from home advantage at the Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica with an average of 2.17 goals scored and 0.61 goals conceded in home games
The grass surface of the stadium is noted as an influencing factor for the match
The last 5 games at the stadium showed an average of 3.4 goals per game, with a 40% BTTS rate and an 80% Over 2.5 rate