Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt - Heidenheim
03/14/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.3
0.8
1:0
14%1:1
13%2:0
12%0:0
11%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Eintracht Frankfurt
Heidenheim
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
54%
Draw
29%
Away Win
17%
Goals
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
83%
Away or Draw
46%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a home win for Eintracht Frankfurt with 54%
- Form difference: Eintracht Frankfurt shows more stable form (DWLWD) compared to Heidenheim's negative streak (LLDLL)
- Offensive-Defensive imbalance: Eintracht Frankfurt's higher scoring rate (1.92 goals/game) meets Heidenheim's vulnerable defense (2.28 goals conceded/game)
Risk Factors
- Heidenheim concedes an average of 2.89 goals per away game
- Heidenheim averages only 2.8 shots on target per game
Overview
Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 35 points) host Heidenheim (18th place, 14 points) at Deutsche Bank Park. The Bundesliga match takes place on March 14, 2026, 3:30 PM. Eintracht Frankfurt aims to establish themselves in the upper half of the table, while Heidenheim needs crucial points in the relegation battle.
Form
Eintracht Frankfurt shows a form of DWLWD in their last five games, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The last game ended in a draw. Heidenheim has a form of LLDLL, with 0 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last five matches and recorded two consecutive losses as their latest result. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.92 goals per game over the season and concedes 1.96 goals. In home games, the average is 2.00 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded. Heidenheim averages 0.96 goals per game and concedes 2.28 goals. Away from home, the average is 1.00 goals scored and 2.89 goals conceded. Eintracht Frankfurt recorded 6 clean sheets, Heidenheim none. Both teams scored in 17 of Eintracht Frankfurt's games and in 15 of Heidenheim's. Similarly, over 2.5 goals occurred in 16 of Eintracht Frankfurt's games and 17 of Heidenheim's. Eintracht Frankfurt is possession-dominant (60% possession) and has an average of 4.4 shots on target. Heidenheim plays balanced (46% possession) and averages 2.8 shots on target.
Head-to-Head
In the five head-to-head matches between the two teams, Eintracht Frankfurt recorded 4 wins, while Heidenheim won no games. One match ended in a draw. The goal difference of 12:2 clearly favors Eintracht Frankfurt. The last encounter on November 1, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw. The home team has been dominant in recent duels.
Key Players
For Eintracht Frankfurt, Nathaniel Brown is in rising form, with 2 goals in 2 appearances in the last five games. Jean-Mattéo Bahoya also showed rising form with 2 assists in 2 games. Ritsu Doan has a seasonal average rating of 6.96. For Heidenheim, Arijon Ibrahimovic with a seasonal average rating of 6.89 and Budu Zivzivadze with one goal in 4 appearances in the last five games are notable. Patrick Mainka has a seasonal average rating of 6.94.
Goalkeepers
Eintracht Frankfurt's goalkeeper, Michael Zetterer, has a seasonal average rating of 6.82 in 13 appearances and contributed to 6 clean sheets for the team. Heidenheim's goalkeeper Diant Ramaj has a seasonal average rating of 6.8 in 24 appearances and recorded no clean sheets this season.
Influences
Eintracht Frankfurt enjoys a home advantage at Deutsche Bank Park, where they average 2.00 goals scored and 1.64 goals conceded. Venue statistics show that an average of 3.0 goals per game are scored at this stadium, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 of 5 matches. The surface is grass.