Liga Portugal
Sporting CP - Gil Vicente
05/16/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.0
1.2
1:1
12%2:1
10%2:0
8%1:2
6%3:1
6%What influences the xG?
Sporting CP
Gil Vicente
The Lab
- 1Sporting CP: scored only in H2 in 3 consecutive games (4 of 8 total)
- 2Gil Vicente with Antonio Espigares Morillas: 2.9 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 3Sporting CP with Eduardo Quaresma: 2.4 goals/90 min. Without: 0.5 goals/90 min (6 of 8 games)
- 4Sporting CP: 78% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 5Sporting CP: 6 of 8 games without conceding in H1, but only 2 over 90 minutes
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
50%
Draw
26%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
81%
Under 1.5
19%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
35%
Under 3.5
65%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
50%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Sporting CP boasts a strong home offense with an average of 2.67 goals per game, while Gil Vicente concedes an average of 1.38 goals away from home
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 50% for Sporting CP
- Sporting CP dominates head-to-head matches with 3 wins and 2 draws in the last 5 encounters
Risk Factors
- Sporting CP conceded an average of 1.4 goals per game in their last five matches, compared to 0.89 season average
- The last head-to-head match between Sporting CP and Gil Vicente ended in a 1-1 draw
Overview
Sporting CP (2nd place, 79 points) host Gil Vicente (6th place, 50 points) at the Estádio José Alvalade. Liga Portugal match on May 16, 2026, 9:30 PM. Sporting is fighting for top positions, while Gil Vicente is having a solid season.
Form
Sporting CP's form is LDDWW (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss) in their last five matches across all competitions. They have won their last two games. Gil Vicente has a form of DLWDL (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses) and lost their last match. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Sporting CP is strong offensively with an average of 2.61 goals per game and a home strength of 2.67 goals scored while conceding 0.61 goals at home. Gil Vicente scores an average of 1.42 goals per game and concedes an average of 1.06 goals. Away from home, Gil Vicente scores 1.46 goals and concedes 1.38 goals per game. At the Estádio José Alvalade, the last five matches saw an average of 4.0 total goals per game. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches, and 4 out of 5 matches had over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head matches, Sporting CP dominated with 3 wins and 2 draws, while Gil Vicente failed to secure a victory. Sporting CP scored 10 goals and conceded 3 goals in these encounters. The last meeting on January 2, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw.
Key Players
Sporting CP's key players are Luis Suárez, with 27 goals and 6 assists this season and an average rating of 7.5, and Pedro Gonçalves, who contributed 13 goals and 7 assists with a rating of 7.55. Francisco Trincão is also important with 7 goals and 11 assists. For Gil Vicente, Murilo de Souza Costa stands out with 11 goals, 4 assists, and a rating of 7.07. Luís André Leite Esteves contributed 4 goals and 8 assists, while Santiago García González scored 6 goals and 3 assists.
Goalkeepers
Sporting CP's goalkeeper, Rui Silva, has kept 14 clean sheets this season. Daniel Alexis Leite Figueira of Gil Vicente achieved 6 clean sheets in away games this season, and a total of 6 clean sheets.
Influences
The Estádio José Alvalade is a venue for high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.0 goals per game in the last five fixtures. 4 out of 5 matches saw both teams score and over 2.5 goals. Sporting CP shows a strong home offense with an average of 2.67 goals and a solid defense with only 0.61 goals conceded.