FA Cup
Wolverhampton Wanderers - Liverpool
03/06/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.0
2.4
1.4
1:1
14%0:1
11%0:0
11%1:2
9%0:2
9%What influences the xG?
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Liverpool
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
26%
Draw
30%
Away Win
44%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
44%
Under 2.5
56%
Over 3.5
23%
Under 3.5
77%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
56%
Away or Draw
74%
No Draw
70%
Both Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Key Factors
- Probability: The mathematical analysis shows an away win probability of 44% for Liverpool
- Squad Strength: Liverpool will be without key players, as only 73% of their usual goal threat is available without Hugo EkitikƩ (11G/4A), Florian Wirtz (4G/2A), Milos Kerkez (1G/1A)
- Recent Form: Wolverhampton Wanderers enter the match with a 2-1 home victory against Liverpool, enhancing their recent H2H record
Risk Factors
- Fatigue: Both teams have had only 3 days rest since their last match
- Offensive: Liverpool's active goal threat is only at 73% due to absences
- Offensive: Wolverhampton Wanderers average only 0.73 goals scored per game this season
Overview
Wolverhampton Wanderers host Liverpool on March 6, 2026, 8:00 PM, at Molineux Stadium for an FA Cup clash. This cup tie promises an intense encounter between two teams with differing season records.
Form
Wolverhampton Wanderers show strong current form with WDLWW in their last five games, representing 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss). Their last success was a 2-1 victory against Liverpool. Liverpool has a form of WWWWL, with 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches. The only defeat in this series was the 1-2 in the last direct encounter against the Wanderers.
Statistics
Wolverhampton Wanderers score an average of 0.73 goals per game this season and concede 1.73 goals. At home, they average 0.74 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded. They kept 4 clean sheets and scored in 13 matches. Liverpool average 1.66 goals scored and 1.34 goals conceded per game. Away, Liverpool average 1.69 goals scored and 1.77 goals conceded. They achieved 9 clean sheets and scored in 18 matches. The Molineux Stadium has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals occurring in 3 out of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the five previous head-to-head matches, Wolverhampton Wanderers recorded one win, while Liverpool won four times. The goal difference stands at 5:9 in favor of Liverpool. The last encounter on March 3, 2026, ended in a 2-1 victory for Wolverhampton Wanderers.
Key Players
For Wolverhampton Wanderers, Santiago Bueno (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.79), Mateus ManƩ (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.77), and Tolu Arokodare (2 goals, 1 assist, Avg 6.67) are important players. For Liverpool, Cody Gakpo (6 goals, 3 assists, Avg 7.13), Mohamed Salah (5 goals, 6 assists, Avg 6.88), and Dominik Szoboszlai (4 goals, 3 assists, Avg 7.32) are among the key performers.
Goalkeepers
Wolverhampton Wanderers' goalkeeper Sam Johnstone has achieved 4 clean sheets this season. Alisson, Liverpool's goalkeeper, has recorded 9 clean sheets in the current season.
Influences
Molineux Stadium has seen an average of 3.0 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In 3 out of 5 matches, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 matches, over 2.5 goals were scored. Wolverhampton Wanderers score an average of 0.74 goals per home game and concede 1.35 goals. Liverpool score an average of 1.69 goals per away game and concede 1.77 goals.