FA Cup
West Ham United - Brentford
03/09/2026, 07:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.1
1.5
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
West Ham United
Brentford
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
39%
Draw
27%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
60%
Under 2.5
40%
Over 3.5
38%
Under 3.5
62%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
61%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- Pipeline analysis: The prediction shows a close outcome with a 39% home win and 34% away win probability.
- Head-to-head record: Brentford dominated the last 5 encounters with 3 wins and 1 draw.
- High-scoring game expected: The pipeline predicts Over 2.5 with 60% and BTTS with 64%, supported by high average goals conceded by both teams.
Risk Factors
- Brentford is missing numerous injured or doubtful players, including V. Janelt (1G/4A) and R. Henry.
- West Ham United concedes an average of 1.93 goals per home game.
- Brentford concedes an average of 1.92 goals per away game.
Overview
West Ham United hosts Brentford at the London Stadium for an FA Cup match on March 9, 2026, 7:30 PM. Both teams meet in a knockout competition where the winner advances and the loser is eliminated.
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
West Ham United shows a form of DWDLW from their last five matches, including 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss. The last result was a win. The advanced statistics analysis indicates that West Ham United consistently scores (averaging ~1.3 goals per game), with a stable form trend. Goals conceded per game have improved in recent form (1.5) compared to the season average (1.83).
Brentford has a form of DWLWD, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five matches. The last result was a draw. Brentford also scores consistently (averaging ~1.6 goals per game), with a stable form trend. Goals conceded per game have slightly worsened in recent form (1.5) compared to the season average (1.38).
Statistics
West Ham United scores an average of 1.21 goals per game and concedes 1.86 goals per game. At home, they score an average of 1.21 goals and concede 1.93 goals per home game. They kept 4 clean sheets this season.
Brentford scores an average of 1.52 goals per game and concedes 1.38 goals per game. Away from home, they score an average of 1.54 goals and concede 1.92 goals per away game. They kept 7 clean sheets this season.
Venue statistics at London Stadium show an average of 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 out of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, West Ham United secured 1 win, while Brentford achieved 3 wins and 1 draw. The goal difference is 7:9 in favor of Brentford. The last encounter on October 20, 2025, ended in a 0:2 away win for Brentford, highlighting their recent dominance in this fixture.
Key Players
For West Ham United, Jarrod Bowen is a key offensive player with 8 goals and 5 assists this season. Crysencio Summerville has contributed 5 goals and 1 assist in 24 appearances and showed stable form with one goal in the last 5 games. Tomáš Souček scored 4 goals in 26 appearances and showed rising form with one goal in the last 5 games. Not nominated for West Ham is Mateus Fernandes (3 goals/3 assists).
For Brentford, Igor Thiago is the top scorer with 18 goals and 1 assist this season. Kevin Schade contributed 7 goals and 3 assists. Dango Ouattara scored 5 goals and 2 assists and showed rising form with one goal and one assist in the last 5 games. Not nominated for Brentford are Vitaly Janelt (1 goal/4 assists) and Keane Lewis-Potter (3 goals/1 assist).
Goalkeepers
Alphonse Areola of West Ham United has made 20 appearances this season and kept 4 clean sheets. Caoimhín Kelleher of Brentford has made 28 appearances and achieved 7 clean sheets. Areola shows rising form with a form trend delta of 0.56, while Kelleher shows stable form with a delta of 0.17.
Influences
London Stadium as the venue has an average of 2.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. In 4 out of 5 games, both teams scored, and in 3 out of 5 games, over 2.5 goals were scored. West Ham United scored an average of 1.21 goals at home and conceded 1.93 goals. Brentford scored an average of 1.54 goals away and conceded 1.92 goals. West Ham United has a stable possession of 46% and 3.6 shots on target. Brentford is possession-dominant with 55% possession and 3.2 shots on target.