Champions League
FC Barcelona - Newcastle United
03/18/2026, 05:45 PM
Expected Goals
2.1
3.5
1.4
2:1
9%2:2
7%3:1
6%1:2
6%3:2
5%What influences the xG?
FC Barcelona
Newcastle United
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
52%
Draw
23%
Away Win
25%
Goals
Over 1.5
88%
Under 1.5
12%
Over 2.5
68%
Under 2.5
32%
Over 3.5
47%
Under 3.5
53%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
75%
Away or Draw
48%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
68%
No
32%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: A home win for FC Barcelona is expected with 52% probability
- Offensive strength: FC Barcelona scores consistently (Avg. 2.7 goals per game) unlike Newcastle United's struggling goal production (Avg. 1.4 goals)
- Home advantage: FC Barcelona is strong offensively at home (Avg. 2.71 goals) and defensively stable (Avg. 0.47 goals conceded)
Risk Factors
- FC Barcelona had only 3 days rest since their last match
- Newcastle United has only 58% of their seasonal goal threat available
- Newcastle United concedes an average of 1.9 away goals per game
Overview
FC Barcelona (5th place, 16 points) host Newcastle United (12th place, 14 points) at the Camp Nou. The Champions League match takes place on March 18, 2026, 6:45 PM. The Catalans aim to consolidate their position in the table.
Form
FC Barcelona shows strong form across all competitions with a 'WWWDW' record, corresponding to 4 wins and 1 draw. Their last game was a win.
Newcastle United's form is 'LWLDW', indicating 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last game also ended in a win.
FC Barcelona recently won 5-2 against Sevilla, while Newcastle United secured a 1-0 away victory against Chelsea.
Statistics
FC Barcelona shows a strong offense with an average of 2.75 goals per game, while Newcastle United averages 1.43 goals. Defensively, Barcelona is stable with 1 goal conceded per game, while Newcastle United concedes an average of 1.43 goals.
At home, Barcelona scores 2.71 goals and concedes only 0.47 goals per home game. Newcastle United scores 1.5 goals away and concedes an average of 1.9 goals.
The statistics at the Camp Nou show an average of 4.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the 4 head-to-head encounters between the two teams, FC Barcelona secured 3 wins, while Newcastle United has no victories. There was 1 draw. The goal difference is 8:3 in favor of Barcelona.
The last meeting on March 10, 2026, ended in a 1-1 draw.
Key Players
For FC Barcelona, Lamine Yamal (4 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.77), FermĂn LĂłpez (5 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.33), and Pedri (0 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.25) are important players.
For Newcastle United, Anthony Gordon (10 goals, 2 assists, average rating 7.41), Harvey Barnes (6 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.31), and Kieran Trippier (0 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.22) stand out.
Goalkeepers
FC Barcelona's goalkeeper, Joan GarcĂa, has achieved 11 clean sheets this season. His team conceded an average of 0.47 goals at home.
Aaron Ramsdale, Newcastle United's goalkeeper, has recorded 8 clean sheets this season. His team conceded an average of 1.9 goals away.
Influences
The Camp Nou, FC Barcelona's home ground, is known for high-scoring games with an average of 4.2 goals per match. Over 2.5 goals were scored in 100% of the last 5 matches.
FC Barcelona shows strong attacking performance at home with an average of 2.71 goals and stable defense with only 0.47 goals conceded per game. Newcastle United, on the other hand, concedes an average of 1.9 goals away. No weather data is available.