Bundesliga
FC Augsburg - VfB Stuttgart
03/22/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
3.0
1.6
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%2:2
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
27%
Away Win
39%
Goals
Over 1.5
82%
Under 1.5
18%
Over 2.5
58%
Under 2.5
42%
Over 3.5
36%
Under 3.5
64%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
61%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Key Factors
- Tactical Advantage: Stuttgart's possession-dominant style (61% possession, 6.4 shots on target) meets Augsburg's counter-attacking approach
- Historical Dominance: VfB Stuttgart won all 5 head-to-head matches with a goal difference of 12:2
- League Position: Stuttgart (4th place) is significantly ahead of Augsburg (9th place) and fighting for Champions League qualification
Risk Factors
- Shorter recovery time for Stuttgart: VfB had only 3 days since their last match
- Stuttgart's dip in form: VfB's goal production is currently stagnating (1.6 goals) compared to their season average (1.9 goals)
- Augsburg's positive form: FC Augsburg is currently scoring more frequently (1.4 goals) than their season average (1.2 goals)
Overview
FC Augsburg (9th place, 31 points) host VfB Stuttgart (4th place, 50 points) at the WWK Arena. The Bundesliga match is on March 22, 2026, 7:30 PM. VfB are fighting for a Champions League spot, while Augsburg are in the mid-table.
Form
FC Augsburg's form across all competitions is WWWLL. This includes 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last match resulted in a loss.
VfB Stuttgart's form over all competitions is WDLWL. Stuttgart recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last match also resulted in a loss.
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
FC Augsburg averages 1.19 goals scored per game and concedes 1.73 goals. At home, they score 1.21 goals and concede 1.36 goals per game. VfB Stuttgart shows a stronger offense with an average of 1.96 goals per game and 1.31 goals conceded. Away, Stuttgart scores an average of 1.93 goals and concedes 1.47 goals per game. In the last 5 matches at the WWK Arena, an average of 2.4 goals were scored. Both teams scored in 3 of 5 matches, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VfB Stuttgart has dominated. Stuttgart won all 5 encounters. The goal difference is 12:2 in favour of VfB. The last meeting on November 9, 2025, saw VfB Stuttgart win 3-2 at home against FC Augsburg.
Key Players
For FC Augsburg, Alexis Claude-Maurice (Midfielder) is important with 4 goals and 5 assists, and an average rating of 7.08. Fabian Rieder (Midfielder) scored 3 goals and 3 assists with a rating of 6.8. Keven Schlotterbeck (Defender), despite 0 goals, has a rating of 7.03 and provided 1 assist.
For VfB Stuttgart, Deniz Undav (Attacker) stands out with 16 goals and 5 assists and a top rating of 7.32. Angelo Stiller (Midfielder) is an important playmaker with 1 goal and 6 assists and a rating of 7.18. Maximilian Mittelstädt (Defender) contributes to the offense with 4 goals and 3 assists and a rating of 7.21.
Goalkeepers
Finn Dahmen is in goal for FC Augsburg, keeping 5 clean sheets this season. For VfB Stuttgart, Alexander Nübel is the goalkeeper and has recorded 10 clean sheets this season.
Influences
FC Augsburg scores an average of 1.21 goals at home and concedes 1.36 goals. The WWK Arena is known for matches with an average of 2.4 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 matches. The playing surface is grass.