Champions League
Paris Saint Germain - Liverpool
04/08/2026, 07:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.9
1.5
1:1
13%1:2
9%2:1
8%0:2
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
34%
Draw
28%
Away Win
38%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
55%
Under 2.5
45%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
62%
Away or Draw
66%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Contrasting Form: Paris Saint Germain shows a run of 4 wins in their last 5 games, while Liverpool has achieved only 1 win in the same period
- Strong Home Performance from Paris Saint Germain: The team averages 2.27 goals scored at home and concedes only 0.53 goals per game
- Offensive Difficulties for Liverpool: The team's goal production is currently stalling with an average of only 1.2 goals, compared to 2.0 in the seasonal average
Overview
Paris Saint Germain (11th place, 14 points) host Liverpool (3rd place, 18 points) at Parc des Princes
Champions League match on April 8, 2026, 9:00 PM
A crucial encounter in the battle for European supremacy
Form
Both teams show differing form trends
Paris Saint Germain is in strong form: LWWWW (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss
They recently secured a 3-1 home win against Toulouse and a 4-0 away win against Nice
Liverpool, on the other hand, is in poorer form: LDWLL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
They recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
Their recent matches include a 0-4 away loss to Manchester City and a 1-2 away loss to Brighton & Hove Albion
Statistics
Paris Saint Germain averages 2.26 goals scored and 0.85 goals conceded per season
At home, they are particularly strong with an average of 2.27 goals scored and only 0.53 goals conceded per game
Liverpool averages 1.61 goals scored and 1.35 goals conceded per game
Away from home, they concede an average of 1.79 goals and score 1.64 goals
The Parc des Princes sees an average of 4.4 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 matches at this venue, and all 5 matches had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In head-to-head encounters, there have been 2 matches between Paris Saint Germain and Liverpool
Both teams secured 1 win each, with no draws
The goal difference stands at 1:1, indicating a balanced record
Liverpool won the last encounter 1-0 at home on March 11, 2025
Key Players
For Paris Saint Germain, Achraf Hakimi shows stable form with 6 assists in his last 5 games
Ousmane Dembélé is in rising form, scoring 2 goals and providing 2 assists in his last 4 appearances
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia has contributed 7 goals and 4 assists in 11 seasonal appearances
For Liverpool, Dominik Szoboszlai is an important midfielder with 5 goals and 4 assists in 10 seasonal appearances
Florian Wirtz shows rising form with 2 goals and 3 assists in his last 5 games
Hugo Ekitiké has scored 2 goals in his last 5 games and is in rising form
Goalkeepers
Matvey Safonov is the designated goalkeeper for Paris Saint Germain, a team that has kept 14 clean sheets in total
For Liverpool, Giorgi Mamardashvili is in goal; his team has recorded 9 clean sheets this season
Influences
Parc des Princes is considered a high-scoring venue with an average of 4.4 goals per game
In 4 of the last 5 matches at Parc des Princes, both teams scored, and all 5 matches had over 2.5 goals