Europa League
Sporting Braga - Real Betis
04/08/2026, 04:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.3
1.0
1:1
14%1:0
12%0:0
11%2:0
9%2:1
9%What influences the xG?
Sporting Braga
Real Betis
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
31%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
69%
Under 1.5
31%
Over 2.5
41%
Under 2.5
59%
Over 3.5
21%
Under 3.5
79%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Sporting Braga with 45 % probability
- Real Betis showed offensive strength in their last 5 games with an average of 6.4 shots on target
- Sporting Braga exhibits a solid home record, scoring 2.0 goals per home game while conceding only 0.93 goals
Risk Factors
- Both Sporting Braga and Real Betis show a negative recent form trend according to advanced statistics
- Sporting Braga's recent goal production of 1.6 goals is below their season average of 2.1 goals
- Real Betis' recent goal production of 1.5 goals is also lower than their season average of 1.8 goals
- The mathematical model calculates a significant draw probability of 31 %
Overview
Sporting Braga (6th place, 17 points) host Real Betis (4th place, 17 points) at the Estádio Municipal de Braga
Europa League match on April 8, 2026, 6:45 PM
Both teams are level on points and are fighting for a better position in the league standings
Form
Sporting Braga's last 5 games show a form of DLWLW
This translates to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Their last result was a 1-0 win against Moreirense
Real Betis shows a form of LDWLD
This translates to 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses
Their last result was a 0-0 draw against Espanyol
Sporting Braga's recent goal production has stalled at 1.6 goals, compared to their season average of 2.1 goals
Real Betis also shows a reduced goal production of 1.5 goals recently, against a season average of 1.8 goals
Statistics
Sporting Braga scores an average of 2.0 home goals and concedes 0.93 home goals per game
Real Betis scores an average of 1.5 away goals and concedes 1.75 goals per away game
The Estádio Municipal de Braga averages 3.8 total goals per game
In 60% of the last 5 matches at the stadium, both teams scored, and 100% ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between the two teams
Key Players
For Sporting Braga, Ricardo Horta (3 goals, 3 assists this season, 2 goals in last 5 games) and Gabri Martínez (5 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 goal in last 5 games) are important offensive players
Florian Grillitsch contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 of 5 games
Not nominated are Rodrigo Zalazar (6G/2A) and João Moutinho (0G/2A)
For Real Betis, Abde Ezzalzouli (3 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 assist in last 5 games) and Cucho Hernández (2 goals, 1 assist this season, 1 goal, 1 assist in last 5 games) stand out
Aitor Ruibal showed rising form with 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 games
Not nominated is Antony (5G/3A)
Goalkeepers
Sporting Braga's goalkeeper Lukas Hornicek has achieved 10 clean sheets for his team in 15 season appearances
Real Betis' goalkeeper Pau López played in 5 season appearances with a total of 9 clean sheets for his team
Influences
The Estádio Municipal de Braga is a high-scoring venue with an average of 3.8 goals per game and 100% of matches featuring over 2.5 goals in the last 5 encounters
Sporting Braga is offensively strong and defensively stable at home, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding only 0.93 goals per game