Bundesliga
FC Köln - Borussia Mönchengladbach
03/21/2026, 02:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.7
2.8
1.1
1:1
13%2:1
10%2:0
9%1:2
6%3:1
5%What influences the xG?
FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
49%
Draw
27%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
51%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
56%
No
44%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: FC Köln has the highest win probability at 49% according to the mathematical analysis.
- Köln's Home Strength: Köln scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 1.31 goals per home game, indicating a solid home performance.
- Gladbach's Away Weakness: Borussia Mönchengladbach concedes an average of 1.83 goals per away game, showing defensive vulnerability.
Risk Factors
- Stagnant Goal Production: According to Advanced Stats, both FC Köln and Borussia Mönchengladbach show stagnant goal production (currently 1.0 goals per game compared to a season average of 1.4 goals per game).
- Numerous Absences for Köln: FC Köln has several important absences, including two suspended and multiple injured players.
- Vulnerable Away Defense for Gladbach: Borussia Mönchengladbach concedes an average of 1.83 goals per away game.
Overview
FC Köln (14th place, 25 points) host Borussia Mönchengladbach (12th place, 28 points) at the RheinEnergieStadion. Bundesliga match on March 21, 2026, 3:30 PM. Both teams are in the lower midfield of the table, with Köln fighting against relegation and Mönchengladbach trying to distance themselves from the relegation zone.
Form
FC Köln's form in the last five games is LDLLD, with 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses. Most recently, FC Köln drew 1-1 away against Hamburger SV. Borussia Mönchengladbach's form in the last five games is LLWLW, with 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses. Most recently, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 2-0 at home against St. Pauli. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss.
Statistics
FC Köln averages 1.35 goals scored per game this season and concedes 1.69 goals per game. At home, they average 1.38 goals scored and 1.31 goals conceded per home game. Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.15 goals scored and concedes 1.65 goals per game for the season. Away, they score an average of 1.17 goals and concede 1.83 goals per away game. At the RheinEnergieStadion, an average of 2.8 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 4 out of 5 games and over 2.5 goals scored in 4 out of 5 games.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head matches, FC Köln recorded one win, while Borussia Mönchengladbach achieved two wins and two draws. The goal difference is 9:12 in favor of Borussia Mönchengladbach. The last encounter on November 8, 2025, ended in a 1:3 loss for FC Köln against Borussia Mönchengladbach, highlighting the away team's recent dominance in direct duels.
Key Players
For FC Köln, Said El Mala with 9 goals and 4 assists, Jakub Kamiński with 6 goals and 2 assists, and Ragnar Ache with 5 goals and 3 assists are key offensive players. Linton Maina and Ragnar Ache show a rising form trend. Said El Mala and Jakub Kamiński show a declining form trend. For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic (11 goals, 2 assists), Franck Honorat (1 goal, 5 assists), and Kevin Diks (4 goals) are key players. Yannik Engelhardt and Franck Honorat show a rising form trend.
Goalkeepers
Marvin Schwäbe is FC Köln's goalkeeper with a seasonal average rating of 6.89 and a total of 3 clean sheets. Moritz Nicolas is in goal for Borussia Mönchengladbach, with a seasonal average rating of 7.05 and 10 clean sheets.
Influences
FC Köln scores an average of 1.38 goals and concedes 1.31 goals per home game, suggesting a certain home advantage. Borussia Mönchengladbach concedes an average of 1.83 goals per away game. At the RheinEnergieStadion, an average of 2.8 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches.