Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach - Heidenheim
04/04/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.6
1.1
1:1
14%2:1
9%2:0
9%1:2
6%2:2
5%What influences the xG?
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Heidenheim
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
48%
Draw
28%
Away Win
24%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
49%
Under 2.5
51%
Over 3.5
27%
Under 3.5
73%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
76%
Away or Draw
52%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 48% for Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Heidenheim's away defense is particularly vulnerable, conceding an average of 3.00 goals per game
- Borussia Mönchengladbach has shown clear superiority in direct encounters against Heidenheim
Risk Factors
- Heidenheim recorded an average of only 2.8 shots on target in the last 5 games
- Heidenheim concedes an average of 3.00 goals per away game
- The high draw probability of 28% poses a risk
Overview
Borussia Mönchengladbach (13th place, 29 points) host Heidenheim (18th place, 15 points) at Stadion im Borussia-Park
Bundesliga match on April 4, 2026, 3:30 PM
Gladbach aims to improve their league standing
Heidenheim is fighting against relegation
Form
The form of both teams shows different trends
Borussia Mönchengladbach achieved a record of LWLWD in their last five games
This includes 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses
Heidenheim has a form of DLLLD
This corresponds to 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last five matches
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Borussia Mönchengladbach scores an average of 1.23 home goals and concedes 1.62 home goals
Heidenheim scores an average of 1.00 away goals and concedes 3.00 away goals
The venue records an average of 2.4 goals per game
Both teams scored in 1 of 5 matches
2 of 5 matches ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia Mönchengladbach dominated proceedings
Gladbach won 4 games, while Heidenheim remained without a win
There was 1 draw between the two teams
The goal difference of 13:4 clearly favors Gladbach
The last encounter on November 22, 2025, ended 3:0 for Borussia Mönchengladbach
Historically, the home team has been dominant in these clashes
Key Players
For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Franck Honorat (1 goal, 6 assists, form stable), Philipp Sander (2 goals, 0 assists, form rising), and Jens Castrop (3 goals, 1 assist, form rising) are key players
Honorat recorded 1 goal and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Sander scored 1 goal in the last 5 matches
Castrop contributed 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 4 games
The team plays without Haris Tabakovic (11 goals, 2 assists) and Kevin Stöger (1 goal, 1 assist), which reduces the usual starting XI's goal threat by 18%
For Heidenheim, Marvin Pieringer (4 goals, 0 assists, form stable), Hennes Behrens (1 goal, 2 assists, form stable), and Eren Dinkçi (1 goal, 1 assist, form stable) stand out
Pieringer scored 2 goals in the last 5 games
Behrens scored 1 goal and 2 assists in the last 5 matches
Dinkçi scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
Heidenheim plays without Arijon Ibrahimovic (1 goal, 3 assists), Jan Schöppner (1 goal, 1 assist), and Luca Kerber (2 goals, 0 assists), but the active starting XI's goal threat remains at 100%
Goalkeepers
Moritz Nicolas of Borussia Mönchengladbach achieved 10 clean sheets this season
His average rating is 7.01
Heidenheim's goalkeeper Diant Ramaj recorded 0 clean sheets
His average rating is 6.8
Influences
Borussia Mönchengladbach shows a solid performance at home with an average of 1.23 goals scored and 1.62 goals conceded in home matches
Heidenheim, on the other hand, exhibits a clear defensive weakness away from home, conceding an average of 3.00 goals per away game
The Stadion im Borussia-Park has an average of 2.4 total goals per match in the last 5 games
In only 1 of 5 of these matches did both teams score