Superliga
Fredericia - Randers FC
03/13/2026, 06:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.1
2.6
1.5
1:1
14%1:2
9%0:2
8%2:1
7%2:2
5%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
28%
Draw
29%
Away Win
43%
Goals
Over 1.5
75%
Under 1.5
25%
Over 2.5
48%
Under 2.5
52%
Over 3.5
26%
Under 3.5
74%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
57%
Away or Draw
72%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: Randers FC is slightly favored with a 43% win probability and 1.47 predicted goals
- Fredericia's Home Defensive Weakness: They concede an average of 2.75 goals per home game
- Fredericia's Positive Form Trend: They are currently scoring more frequently (1.8) than their season average (1.4)
Risk Factors
- Fredericia is missing key players: Oscar Buch (6G/1A), Gustav Ølsted Marcussen (4G/1A), and William Madsen (1G/1A) are unavailable, representing 21% of usual starting XI strength
- Randers FC shows low offensive output: Averaging only 1.0 goals per game this season
Overview
Fredericia (10th place, 24 points) host Randers FC (9th place, 26 points) at Monjasa Park
Superliga match on March 13, 2026, 7:00 PM
A tight mid-table clash where Randers FC has a slight edge
Form
Fredericia shows a form of LWDWW (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss)
The team has two consecutive wins
Randers FC has a form of LDWLW (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses)
They recently secured a win
(W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss)
Statistics
Fredericia scores an average of 1.36 goals and concedes 2.23 goals per game this season
At home, Fredericia averages 1.38 goals scored and concedes a high 2.75 goals
Randers FC scores an average of 1.00 goals and concedes 1.23 goals per game this season
Away, Randers FC averages 1.00 goals scored and concedes 1.18 goals
At Monjasa Park, the last five games saw an average of 3.2 goals per match
60% of these matches saw both teams score, and 80% had over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
In the two direct encounters between the two teams, Fredericia won both matches
Randers FC has not yet achieved a victory against Fredericia
Fredericia scored a total of 3 goals, while Randers FC scored 1 goal
The last meeting on February 22, 2026, ended with a 2-1 victory for Fredericia
Key Players
For Fredericia, Jakob Jessen (0 goals, 3 assists) shows a rising form with 2 assists in the last 5 games
Jonatan Holm Lindekilde (1 goal, 1 assist) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and also shows a rising form
Etim (1 goal, 0 assists) scored once in his only appearance in the last 5 games and has a rising form
For Randers FC, Elies Mahmoud (2 goals, 2 assists) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games
Daniel Høegh (3 goals, 0 assists) scored 1 goal in the last 5 games and shows a rising form
Wessel Dammers (1 goal, 1 assist) provided 1 assist in the last 5 games
Goalkeepers
Etienne Green played in 2 season games for Fredericia, with no clean sheets in any of them
Paul Izzo guarded the goal for Randers FC in 17 season games and kept three away clean sheets
Fredericia has recorded a total of 2 clean sheets this season
Randers FC has completed 8 clean sheets this season
Influences
Fredericia shows an average attacking performance at home with 1.38 goals scored but has a defensive weakness with 2.75 goals conceded
Randers FC performs solidly away with 1.00 goals scored and 1.18 goals conceded per game
Monjasa Park has a history of averaging 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 60% of matches and over 2.5 goals in 80%
The playing surface is grass