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Bundesliga

VfL Wolfsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt

04/11/2026, 01:30 PM

1 : 2
Expected Goals
VfL Wolfsburg
1.2
Total xG
2.6
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:2

9%

2:1

8%

0:2

7%

2:2

5%
What influences the xG?
VWEF

VfL Wolfsburg

Standings disadvantage (pos 17 vs 7, 10 places gap)
-0.14
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
-0.11
Declining form (1 vs 1.4 season average)
-0.11
Saël Kumbedi not in squad (0 goals, 5 assists)
Konstantinos Koulierakis not in squad (2 goals, 1 assists)

Eintracht Frankfurt

3 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.19
3 clean sheets in last 5 matches
-0.15
Standings advantage (pos 7 vs 17, 10 places gap)
+0.07
Ritsu Doan not in squad (4 goals, 5 assists)
Jean-Mattéo Bahoya not in squad (3 goals, 4 assists)
Nnamdi Collins not in squad (1 goals, 2 assists)
Weak away record (1.2 vs 1.8 goals/match)

League

High-scoring league (3.2 goals/match)
+0.71
+0.71
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

31%

Draw

29%

Away Win

40%

Goals

Over 1.5

76%

Under 1.5

24%

Over 2.5

49%

Under 2.5

51%

Over 3.5

27%

Under 3.5

73%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

60%

Away or Draw

69%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

55%

No

45%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis slightly favors Eintracht Frankfurt with a 40% win probability
  • VfL Wolfsburg's form shows a clear negative trend with 0 wins and 4 losses in the last 5 matches
  • Eintracht Frankfurt's ball-dominant playing style (avg 68% possession) meets Wolfsburg's counter-attacking approach (avg 42% possession)
Risk Factors
  • Eintracht Frankfurt concedes an average of 2.20 goals per away game (awayGoalsConcededAvg)
  • VfL Wolfsburg's goal production is stagnant (1.0) compared to their season average (1.4), indicating a negative trend
  • Frankfurt is missing Ritsu Doan (4G/5A), Jean-Mattéo Bahoya (3G/4A), and Nnamdi Collins (1G/2A) according to the lineup check, which accounts for 94% of their usual starting XI strength
Overview

VfL Wolfsburg (17th place, 21 points) host Eintracht Frankfurt (7th place, 39 points) at the Volkswagen Arena

Bundesliga match on April 11, 2026, 3:30 PM

Wolfsburg is in a relegation battle, while Frankfurt is fighting for a European spot

Form

VfL Wolfsburg is in poor form with LLDLL (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses)

Most recently, Wolfsburg lost 3-6 against Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 0-1 against Werder Bremen

Eintracht Frankfurt is in a more stable form with WDWLD (2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss)

The last match ended in a 2-2 draw against FC Köln

Statistics

VfL Wolfsburg averages 1.36 goals scored and 2.25 goals conceded per season

At home, Wolfsburg averages 1.33 goals scored and 1.93 goals conceded

Eintracht Frankfurt averages 1.86 goals scored and 1.89 goals conceded per game

Away from home, Frankfurt averages 1.80 goals scored and 2.20 goals conceded

The Volkswagen Arena sees an average of 2.8 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 4 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 matches

Head-to-Head

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, there has been an even record with 1 win for each team and 3 draws

VfL Wolfsburg scored 7 goals, and Eintracht Frankfurt scored 6 goals

The last encounter on November 30, 2025, ended in a 1-1 draw

Key Players

For VfL Wolfsburg, Mohamed Amoura (8 goals, 3 assists) and Christian Eriksen (3 goals, 6 assists) are important attacking players

Patrick Wimmer contributed 3 goals and 3 assists

For Eintracht Frankfurt, Jonathan Burkardt is a key attacking player with 10 seasonal goals

Farès Chaïbi shined with 2 goals and 9 assists, while Nathaniel Brown scored 4 goals and 5 assists

Goalkeepers

VfL Wolfsburg's goalkeeper, Kamil Grabara, has recorded 1 clean sheet this season

Frankfurt's goalkeeper Michael Zetterer has achieved 7 clean sheets this season

Influences

The Volkswagen Arena averages 2.8 goals per game

In 80% of recent matches, both teams scored, and 60% ended with over 2.5 goals

VfL Wolfsburg scores an average of 1.33 goals at home and concedes 1.93 goals

Eintracht Frankfurt scores an average of 1.80 goals away and concedes 2.20 goals

The match will be played on grass

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