Bundesliga
FC Köln - Werder Bremen
04/12/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.2
2.4
1.2
1:1
15%0:0
11%0:1
10%1:0
9%1:2
8%What influences the xG?
FC Köln
Werder Bremen
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
32%
Draw
31%
Away Win
37%
Goals
Over 1.5
71%
Under 1.5
29%
Over 2.5
43%
Under 2.5
57%
Over 3.5
22%
Under 3.5
78%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
63%
Away or Draw
68%
No Draw
69%
Both Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Key Factors
- Werder Bremen shows better current form with 3 wins in their last 5 games, in contrast to Köln's 0 wins
- The historical record favors Werder Bremen, having won 2 out of 3 head-to-head matches and being considered recently dominant
- The mathematical analysis predicts a slightly higher 37% probability for an away win
Risk Factors
- FC Köln's current form with 0 wins and 3 draws in their last 5 games is poor
- The mathematical analysis shows a considerable 31% probability for a draw
- The data situation is limited as total duels data for the last 5 games of the teams is unavailable
Overview
FC Köln (15th place, 27 points) host Werder Bremen (14th place, 28 points) at RheinEnergieStadion
Bundesliga match on April 12, 2026, 3:30 PM
Both teams are fighting for crucial points in the lower half of the table against relegation
Form
FC Köln's form across all competitions is LLDDD (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses)
The team has played three consecutive draws recently
Werder Bremen's form across all competitions is WWLWL (3 wins, 0 draws, 2 losses)
Their last result was a loss
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
FC Köln scores an average of 1.43 goals per game and concedes 1.75 goals
In home matches, the average is 1.39 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded
Werder Bremen scores an average of 1.11 goals per game and also concedes 1.75 goals
Away from home, Bremen scores 1.14 goals and concedes 1.71 goals
At RheinEnergieStadion, an average of 3.4 goals are scored per game
In 80% of matches at this stadium, both teams score and over 2.5 goals are tallied
Head-to-Head
In 3 head-to-head matches, FC Köln has 0 wins, 1 draw, and Werder Bremen has 2 wins
The goal difference is 2:4 in favor of Werder Bremen
The last encounter on November 29, 2025, ended in a 1:1 draw
The recent record shows dominance by Werder Bremen
Key Players
For FC Köln, Said El Mala (10 goals, 4 assists) and Jakub Kamiński (7 goals, 3 assists) are key attacking players
Kamiński shows a rising form with 2 goals and 1 assist in the last 5 games
Ragnar Ache contributed 6 goals and 4 assists
For Werder Bremen, Romano Schmid is an important creator with 2 goals and 7 assists, but shows a declining form
Justin Njinmah (5 goals) and Marco Grüll (3 goals, 1 assist) are other attacking players
Not nominated: Jens Stage (7 goals, 2 assists)
Goalkeepers
Marvin Schwäbe is the goalkeeper for FC Köln and recorded 3 clean sheets this season
Mio Backhaus is the goalkeeper for Werder Bremen and achieved 6 clean sheets
Influences
RheinEnergieStadion is known for high-scoring matches with an average of 3.4 goals per game
In 80% of matches at the stadium, both teams score and over 2.5 goals are tallied
FC Köln scores an average of 1.39 goals at home and concedes 1.33 goals
Werder Bremen scores 1.14 goals away and concedes 1.71 goals