Bundesliga
Heidenheim - FC Union Berlin
04/11/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.4
1:1
14%2:1
8%1:2
8%2:0
6%0:2
6%What influences the xG?
Heidenheim
FC Union Berlin
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
36%
Draw
28%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
53%
Under 2.5
47%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
64%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a very balanced match with almost equal winning chances for both teams (home win 36%, away win 36%)
- Heidenheim has a strong historical record against Union Berlin, with 4 wins and 1 draw in 5 direct encounters
- Heidenheim shows a slightly improved current offense (1.4 goals) compared to their season average (1.0 goals), and home games at the Voith-Arena are high-scoring (average 4.6 goals per game)
Risk Factors
- Heidenheim averaged only 3.0 shots on target in their last 5 games
- FC Union Berlin averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
- FC Union Berlin concedes an average of 2.27 goals per away game
Overview
Heidenheim (18th place, 16 points) host FC Union Berlin (11th place, 32 points) at the Voith-Arena
Bundesliga match on April 11, 2026, 3:30 PM
Heidenheim is fighting relegation at the bottom of the table, while Union Berlin is placed in the midfield
Form
Heidenheim's form in the last five games (LLLDD) shows two draws and three losses
Their last match result was a draw
FC Union Berlin achieved one win, one draw, and three losses in their last five games (LLWLD)
Their last match also ended in a draw
Heidenheim recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses
FC Union Berlin registered 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Heidenheim scores an average of 1.04 goals per game and concedes 2.25 goals
At home, Heidenheim averages 1.06 goals scored and 2.00 goals conceded per home game
FC Union Berlin scores an average of 1.14 goals and concedes 1.68 goals per game
Away from home, Union Berlin scores 1.18 goals and concedes 2.27 goals per away game
Heidenheim has kept 0 clean sheets this season
Union Berlin has kept 6 clean sheets
Heidenheim's home games average 4.6 total goals per match
Both teams scored in 60% of home games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%
Head-to-Head
In a total of 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim dominated with 4 wins
FC Union Berlin did not win any of the direct encounters, with 1 draw
The goal difference of 10:3 clearly favors Heidenheim
The last direct meeting was won by Heidenheim 2:1 on November 29, 2025
Key Players
For Heidenheim, Stefan Schimmer is an important offensive player with 5 goals and 1 assist
Marvin Pieringer also shows presence with 4 season goals
Patrick Mainka contributed 2 goals and 1 assist
For FC Union Berlin, Andrej Ilic is crucial with 2 goals and 8 assists
Rani Khedira has scored 5 season goals
Oliver Burke has 4 goals and 1 assist
Goalkeepers
Heidenheim's goalkeeper Diant Ramaj played 27 season games with an average rating of 6.76
Heidenheim has 0 clean sheets this season
Frederik Rönnow, goalkeeper for FC Union Berlin, played 27 matches and achieved an average rating of 6.72
Union Berlin kept 6 clean sheets
Influences
Heidenheim scores an average of 1.06 goals at home and concedes 2.00 goals per home game
This indicates a certain home advantage in offense, but also a vulnerability in defense
The Voith-Arena is characterized by high-scoring games, with an average of 4.6 goals per match
Both teams scored in 60% of the games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 80%