Bundesliga
RB Leipzig - Borussia Mönchengladbach
04/11/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.2
3.4
1.3
1:1
10%2:1
10%2:0
8%3:1
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
57%
Draw
23%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
87%
Under 1.5
13%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5
33%
Over 3.5
45%
Under 3.5
55%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
43%
No Draw
77%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a home win probability of 57% for RB Leipzig and an average of 2.17 expected home goals
- Borussia Mönchengladbach's away defense is vulnerable, conceding an average of 1.79 goals per away game
- RB Leipzig is in strong form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches
Overview
RB Leipzig (3rd place, 53 points) host Borussia Mönchengladbach (13th place, 30 points) at the Red Bull Arena
Bundesliga match on April 11, 2026, 3:30 PM
The hosts are aiming for Champions League qualification, while the guests are in the mid-table
Form
RB Leipzig shows a strong trend with form WWLWW, achieving 4 wins and 1 loss in their last five matches
Leipzig recently won 2-1 away against Werder Bremen and 5-0 at home against TSG Hoffenheim
Borussia Mönchengladbach's form WLWDD indicates a mixed phase, with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games
Gladbach recently drew 2-2 at home against Heidenheim and 3-3 away against FC Köln
Statistics
RB Leipzig averages 1.96 goals scored per game and concedes 1.29 goals per game
At home, Leipzig is particularly strong with an average of 2.0 home goals scored and 1.06 goals conceded per home game
They have recorded 10 clean sheets this season, 5 of which were in home matches
Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.25 goals scored and concedes 1.71 goals per game
Away from home, their average is 1.21 goals scored and 1.79 goals conceded per away game
Gladbach has a total of 10 clean sheets, with 4 in away matches
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 19 games for RB Leipzig and 16 games for Borussia Mönchengladbach
At the Red Bull Arena, an average of 2.6 goals per game were scored in the last 5 matches, with both teams scoring in 2 of 5 games and over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 games
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Leipzig scored 3 goals, while Borussia Mönchengladbach managed 1 goal
RB Leipzig secured 2 wins in direct encounters, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 win, and 2 matches ended in a draw
The last encounter on November 28, 2025, ended in a 0-0 draw
The recent record favors the home team, RB Leipzig
Key Players
Christoph Baumgartner of RB Leipzig is a key player with 12 season goals and 7 assists, showing stable form in the last 5 games
Yan Diomande contributed 10 goals and 6 assists this season, scoring 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 appearances
Rômulo has scored 8 season goals and 5 assists, contributing 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games
For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Haris Tabakovic is an important attacker with 11 season goals and 2 assists, though his form has been declining recently
Franck Honorat has 2 goals and 6 assists this season, including 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games with stable form
Jens Castrop shows rising form, recording 2 goals and 2 assists in his last 5 games, with a total of 3 season goals and 2 assists
Not nominated for RB Leipzig: Brajan Gruda (3G/2A)
Not nominated for Borussia Mönchengladbach: Wael Mohya (2G/0A), Kevin Stöger (1G/1A)
Goalkeepers
Maarten Vandevoordt of RB Leipzig has 7 appearances this season with an average rating of 6.85
Leipzig has recorded 10 clean sheets this season, with 5 in home matches
Moritz Nicolas is the goalkeeper for Borussia Mönchengladbach with 28 season appearances and an average rating of 7.01
Gladbach kept a clean sheet in 10 games this season, 4 of which were in away matches
Influences
The Red Bull Arena has seen an average of 2.6 goals per game in the last 5 matches
RB Leipzig's home advantage is reflected in an average of 2.0 goals scored at home and only 1.06 goals conceded at home