Bundesliga
FC Augsburg - Eintracht Frankfurt
04/25/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.4
2.8
1.3
1:1
14%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
6%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
FC Augsburg
Eintracht Frankfurt
League
The Lab
- 1Eintracht Frankfurt: scored only after the break in 4 of 8 games
- 2Eintracht Frankfurt: 4 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 8 games)
- 3FC Augsburg: scored only after the break in 3 of 8 games
- 4Eintracht Frankfurt with Ansgar Knauff: 4.7 goals/90 min. Without: 1.3 goals/90 min (4 of 8 games)
- 5Eintracht Frankfurt: 66% of xG value comes in the second half (last 8 games with xG data)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
29%
Away Win
34%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
66%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
71%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- FC Augsburg holds a slight favorite role with a 38% home win probability according to mathematical analysis
- Eintracht Frankfurt's goal production is stagnant, averaging 1.4 goals per game recently compared to 1.8 for the season
- FC Augsburg's tactical approach is counter-oriented with an average of 38% possession, while Eintracht Frankfurt plays a possession-dominant game with 61%
Risk Factors
- Eintracht Frankfurt concedes an average of 2.12 goals per away game
- The probability of a draw (29%) or an away win (34%) suggests a very close match
Overview
FC Augsburg (9th place, 36 points) host Eintracht Frankfurt (8th place, 42 points) at the WWK Arena. The Bundesliga match takes place on April 25, 2026, 3:30 PM. Both teams aim to achieve their season goals and consolidate their positions in the upper half of the table.
Form
FC Augsburg's current form is LLDDW, which means 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses in the last five games. Their last match was a 2-1 away win against Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Eintracht Frankfurt's form is WLDWL, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Most recently, Eintracht lost 1-3 at home to RB Leipzig. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
FC Augsburg scores an average of 1.27 goals per game and concedes 1.8 goals. At home, they average 1.24 goals scored and 1.53 goals conceded. Eintracht Frankfurt is stronger offensively with 1.83 goals per game but concedes 1.9 goals. Away, Eintracht scores 1.81 times and concedes 2.12 goals per game. Both teams scored in 18 FC Augsburg matches and 21 Eintracht Frankfurt matches. On average, 3.4 goals per game were scored at the WWK Arena in the last five matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last five head-to-head encounters, FC Augsburg recorded 1 win, Eintracht Frankfurt had 2 wins, and there were 2 draws. Eintracht Frankfurt scored 7 goals, while FC Augsburg scored 5 goals. The last match was a 1-0 away win for Eintracht Frankfurt on December 13, 2025.
Key Players
For FC Augsburg, Fabian Rieder shows rising form with 6 season goals and 3 assists. Alexis Claude-Maurice has 5 goals and 5 assists. Michael Gregoritsch scored 1 goal in the last 5 games in only 96 minutes of play. For Eintracht Frankfurt, Arnaud Kalimuendo is in good shape with 6 season goals and 3 goals in the last 5 games. Ayoube Amaimouni-Echghouyab has 4 season assists and 3 assists in the last 5 games. Hugo Larsson records 2 season goals and 1 goal in the last 5 games. Not nominated for Eintracht Frankfurt are Farès Chaïbi (2G/9A), Jonathan Burkardt (10G/0A), and Ritsu Doan (4G/5A).
Goalkeepers
Finn Dahmen, FC Augsburg's goalkeeper, played 30 season games and kept 5 clean sheets. His current form is rising. Michael Zetterer of Eintracht Frankfurt made 18 season appearances and kept 7 clean sheets. His form also shows an upward trend.
Influences
The WWK Arena has seen an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last five matches. Both teams scored in 3 of the 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of the 5 games. The stadium surface is grass. FC Augsburg scores 1.24 goals at home and concedes 1.53 goals per game. Eintracht Frankfurt scores 1.81 goals away and concedes 2.12 goals per game. No weather data is available for this analysis.