Bundesliga
FC Augsburg - Borussia Mönchengladbach
05/09/2026, 01:30 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
FC Augsburg
Borussia Mönchengladbach
League
The Lab
- 1Borussia Mönchengladbach: first goal in 5 of 7 games (71%)
- 2FC Augsburg: 77% of xG value comes in the first half (last 8 games with xG data)
- 3Borussia Mönchengladbach with Lukas Ullrich: 5.4 goals/90 min. Without: 1 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
- 4FC Augsburg with Elvis Rexhbecaj: 4.6 goals/90 min. Without: 2.4 goals/90 min (5 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
27%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
79%
Under 1.5
21%
Over 2.5
54%
Under 2.5
46%
Over 3.5
32%
Under 3.5
68%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Key Factors
- Mathematical analysis indicates a home win probability of 45% for FC Augsburg, with 1.62 expected home goals and 1.23 expected away goals for Borussia Mönchengladbach
- FC Augsburg is currently scoring more frequently (1.8 goals/game) than their season average (1.4 goals/game), with an average of 5.2 shots on target recently
- Borussia Mönchengladbach's goal production is faltering with an average of 1.0 goals per game recently, below their season average of 1.4 goals
Risk Factors
- Borussia Mönchengladbach is missing N. Elvedi (Yellow Card Suspension) and J. Castrop (Red Card Suspension)
- FC Augsburg concedes an average of 1.75 goals per game this season
Overview
FC Augsburg (9th place, 40 points) host Borussia Mönchengladbach (11th place, 35 points) at the WWK Arena. The Bundesliga match takes place on May 9, 2026, at 3:30 PM. FC Augsburg aims to consolidate its position in the upper half of the table, while Mönchengladbach seeks to close the gap to the top.
Form
FC Augsburg shows strong form, being unbeaten in their last 5 games (DDWDW), with 2 wins and 3 draws. Augsburg recently won 3-1 away against Werder Bremen. Borussia Mönchengladbach's form is less consistent (DLDDW), with 1 win, 3 draws, and 1 loss in their last 5 matches. Gladbach recently won 1-0 at home against Borussia Dortmund.
Statistics
FC Augsburg scores an average of 1.31 goals per game and concedes 1.75 goals. At home, they average 1.29 goals scored and 1.59 goals conceded per home game. Borussia Mönchengladbach averages 1.16 goals scored and 1.56 goals conceded per game. Away, they score 1.13 goals and concede 1.73 goals. At this venue, the last 5 matches saw an average of 3.2 goals per game, with both teams scoring in 3 of 5 matches and over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 matches.
Head-to-Head
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, FC Augsburg recorded 3 wins, Borussia Mönchengladbach 1 win, and there was 1 draw. FC Augsburg scored 11 goals, while Borussia Mönchengladbach scored 10 goals. The last encounter on January 11, 2026, ended with a 4-0 home victory for Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Key Players
For FC Augsburg, Fabian Rieder (6 goals, 3 assists) with rising form, Anton Kade (6 goals) also with rising form, and Michael Gregoritsch (4 goals, 2 assists) are key players. For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Franck Honorat (2 goals, 6 assists), Kevin Diks (4 goals), and Shuto Machino (3 goals, 1 assist) are among the key performers.
Goalkeepers
In goal for FC Augsburg is Finn Dahmen, who kept 5 clean sheets in 32 season appearances. For Borussia Mönchengladbach, Moritz Nicolas guards the goal, achieving 12 clean sheets in 32 appearances.
Influences
The WWK Arena is known for an average of 3.2 goals per game in the last 5 fixtures. FC Augsburg's home advantage is evident with 1.29 home goals scored per game. 60% of the matches at this venue ended with both teams scoring.