Friendly International
France - Côte d'Ivoire
06/04/2026, 07:10 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.3
1.5
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:2
7%2:0
6%What influences the xG?
France
Côte d'Ivoire
League
The Lab
- 1Côte d'Ivoire with Guela Doué: 1.8 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (4 of 6 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
44%
Draw
25%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
64%
Under 2.5
36%
Over 3.5
42%
Under 3.5
58%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
56%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
66%
No
34%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: France is the favorite to win with a 44% probability
- Offensive Strength: France maintains a consistent scoring rate, averaging 2.5 goals per game this season
- Defensive Strength: Côte d'Ivoire kept a clean sheet in both games this season and conceded 0.0 goals per game
Risk Factors
- For Côte d'Ivoire, only 67% of the usual starting eleven strength is available
- France has not kept a clean sheet in any game this season
- Côte d'Ivoire averaged 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
France will host Côte d'Ivoire in a Friendly International match at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
The game is scheduled for June 4, 2026, 9:10 PM
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win with a 44% probability
A draw is rated at 25%, while an away win has a 31% chance
Form
France shows a perfect 'WW' form in their last two matches
The team won both games, most recently a 3-1 away victory against Colombia
Côte d'Ivoire's form across all competitions is 'DLWWW'
Over their last five games, the team recorded 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, including 3 consecutive wins recently
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
France has scored an average of 2.5 goals per game this season and conceded 1.0 goal per game
Both of their two matches saw over 2.5 goals and both teams scored
Côte d'Ivoire also scored an average of 2.5 goals per game this season but conceded 0.0 goals per game
The team kept a clean sheet in both of their two matches and neither game saw both teams scoring
At Stade de la Beaujoire, the last five matches have seen an average of 2.6 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 40% of the matches, and 40% ended with over 2.5 goals
Head-to-Head
No head-to-head data is available
Key Players
For France, Marcus Thuram is a key player with 1 season goal and 1 assist
In his last 5 games, he scored 3 goals and 1 assist with an average rating of 7.26
Michael Olise, another attacker, has 1 season assist and 2 goals plus 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.43
Kylian Mbappé contributed 1 goal this season and scored 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 7.25
For Côte d'Ivoire, Simon Adingra is noteworthy with 1 season goal and 1 goal in his last 5 games, holding a rating of 6.61
Wilfried Singo, a defender, has 1 season goal and 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 6.99
Elye Wahi, an attacker, scored 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games with a rating of 6.99
Goalkeepers
France's goalkeeper, Mike Maignan, has a season average rating of 6.73 and a 7.08 rating in his last 5 games
Côte d'Ivoire's goalkeeper, Yahia Fofana, has a season rating of 7.26 and a 6.66 rating in his last 5 games
Côte d'Ivoire has 2 clean sheets this season, while France has 0 clean sheets
Influences
France has not played any home games this season
Côte d'Ivoire scored an average of 2.0 goals per game in their 2 away matches and conceded 0.0 goals per game, with one clean sheet
The stadium, Stade de la Beaujoire, has an average of 2.6 goals per game