Friendly International
Canada - Uzbekistan
06/02/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.9
1.3
1:1
13%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:0
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Canada
Uzbekistan
League
The Lab
- 1Canada with Mathieu Choinière: 1 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
28%
Away Win
31%
Goals
Over 1.5
80%
Under 1.5
20%
Over 2.5
56%
Under 2.5
44%
Over 3.5
33%
Under 3.5
67%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
69%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- Critical absence: Uzbekistan has only 33% of their active goal production available
- Canada's form: The home team is unbeaten in their last 5 games, supporting the 42% home win prediction
- BMO Field as a goal factory: The stadium has a high goal-scoring rate (averaging 4.6 goals per game), with a 100% 'Both teams to score' rate
Risk Factors
- Limited data on head-to-head encounters, as no historical meetings were found
- Canada's goal production is stagnant at 1.5 goals, while the season average is 1.8, indicating a negative form trend
- Uzbekistan is counter-oriented and averaged 4.2 shots on target in their last 5 games
Overview
Canada hosts Uzbekistan at BMO Field in a Friendly International on June 2, 2026, 2:00 AM. Canada aims to demonstrate its home strength. For both teams, this is an opportunity to test tactics and evaluate players.
Form
Canada is unbeaten in their last five matches, with 2 wins and 3 draws. Recent results include a 0-0 draw against Tunisia and a 2-2 draw against Iceland. Uzbekistan's form consists of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss in their last five games. They recently drew 0-0 with Venezuela and secured a 3-1 victory over Gabon. W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Canada has scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded an average of 0.67 goals. Uzbekistan has scored an average of 1.5 goals per game and conceded an average of 0.5 goals. BMO Field has seen an average of 4.6 total goals per game in the last five matches. All five of these matches saw both teams score. More than 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games.
Key Players
For Canada, Jonathan David stands out, scoring 2 goals in two season appearances with an average rating of 7.36. Richie Laryea showed rising form in his last five games with 2 goals, and Liam Millar achieved a season average rating of 7.46. On Uzbekistan's side, Eldor Shomurodov scored 1 goal in one season appearance. Oston Urunov contributed 2 goals in his last four games, and Otabek Shukurov provided 1 assist in his last five matches.
Goalkeepers
Canada's goalkeeper Maxime Crêpeau has achieved an average rating of 6.68 in 1 season appearance. Uzbekistan's goalkeeper Abduvokhid Nematov reached an average rating of 6.50 in 1 season appearance. Canada has kept two clean sheets this season, while Uzbekistan has one.
Influences
The match will be played on a grass surface at BMO Field. The venue's statistics indicate a tendency for high-scoring games, with an average of 4.6 total goals per match. Both teams scored in 5 out of 5 games, and over 2.5 goals were scored in 4 out of 5 games.