Friendly International
Côte d'Ivoire - Scotland
03/31/2026, 06:30 PM
Expected Goals
2.3
3.4
1.0
2:1
10%1:1
9%2:0
9%3:1
8%3:0
7%What influences the xG?
Côte d'Ivoire
Scotland
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
65%
Draw
21%
Away Win
14%
Goals
Over 1.5
86%
Under 1.5
14%
Over 2.5
65%
Under 2.5
35%
Over 3.5
43%
Under 3.5
57%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
86%
Away or Draw
35%
No Draw
79%
Both Score
Yes
59%
No
41%
Key Factors
- Pipeline Prediction: The model forecasts a home win with 65% probability
- Ivory Coast's offensive strength: They won their last game 4-0 and recently averaged 1.5 goals
- Scottish defensive vulnerability: Scotland lost 2 of their last 3 games and recently conceded an average of 1.33 goals
Risk Factors
- Ivory Coast squad strength: Only 0% of the usual starting XI goal threat is available
- Tight schedule: Both teams had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Limited data availability: Seasonal statistics for Scotland are not fully available
Overview
Ivory Coast host Scotland in a Friendly International match at Hill Dickinson Stadium
The match takes place on March 31, 2026, 7:30 PM
The mathematical model predicts a clear advantage for the home team with a 65% win probability
Form
Ivory Coast's current form is LDLWW
This corresponds to 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in the last 5 games
They recently achieved two consecutive wins
Scotland's form is LWL
This means 1 win and 2 losses in their last 3 matches
Their last game ended in a defeat
Statistics
Ivory Coast has scored an average of 4.0 goals and conceded 0.0 goals in one game this season
They managed to keep one clean sheet
At the Hill Dickinson Stadium, an average of 2.2 goals per game are scored
Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games (40%)
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 2 out of 5 games (40%)
Key Players
For Ivory Coast, Ousmane Diomande (Defender) is relevant
He played in 4 of the last 5 games, totaling 201 minutes, with 0 goals and 0 assists, and an average rating of 6.58
His form is stable
For Scotland, Andrew Robertson (Defender) is a key player
He played in 4 of the last 5 games, totaling 205 minutes, with 0 goals and 0 assists, and an average rating of 6.50
Goalkeepers
Alban Lafont is the probable goalkeeper for Ivory Coast
His team has kept one clean sheet this season
Liam Kelly is the probable goalkeeper for Scotland
Influences
Ivory Coast averaged 54% possession and 3.4 shots on target in their last 5 games
Scotland was dominant with 60% possession and averaged 4.7 shots on target in their last 3 games
Hill Dickinson Stadium has a history of 2.2 goals per game, with a 40% rate for 'Both Teams To Score' and 'Over 2.5 Goals'