Friendly International
Spain - Serbia
03/27/2026, 08:00 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.2
1.1
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
9%3:1
7%3:0
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
56%
Draw
24%
Away Win
20%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
80%
Away or Draw
44%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts a 56% win probability for Spain, with expected 2.02 home goals versus 1.15 away goals
- The Estadio de la Cerámica is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game
- Spain's attackers Lamine Yamal (3 goals, 1 assist) and Mikel Oyarzabal (3 goals) have shown strong recent form
Risk Factors
- The limited data available for both teams' season statistics restricts the analysis
Overview
Spain host Serbia at the Estadio de la Cerámica for a Friendly International match on March 27, 2026, 9:00 PM.
Statistics
The Estadio de la Cerámica has an average of 3.4 goals per game in the last 5 matches. More than 2.5 goals were scored and both teams scored in 4 out of 5 encounters.
Key Players
For Spain, Lamine Yamal (3 goals, 1 assist), Mikel Oyarzabal (3 goals), and Rodri (1 goal, avg. 7.59) showed strong performances in their last five games. For Serbia, Aleksandar Stanković (2 goals, 2 assists), Strahinja Pavlović (2 goals), and Nikola Milenković (1 assist) were the most notable players.
Goalkeepers
Unai Simón is Spain's goalkeeper. For Serbia, Vanja Milinković-Savić is between the posts.
Influences
The match will be played on a natural grass surface. The Estadio de la Cerámica tends to favor high-scoring games (avg. 3.4 goals/match) with a high rate (80%) for both teams to score and over 2.5 goals.