Friendly International
Mexico - Portugal
03/29/2026, 01:00 AM
Expected Goals
1.7
3.2
1.5
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
7%2:0
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
42%
Draw
26%
Away Win
32%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
62%
Under 2.5
38%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
68%
Away or Draw
58%
No Draw
74%
Both Score
Yes
65%
No
35%
Key Factors
- Mexico's strong form and defense: Mexico is unbeaten in 3 games and has conceded no goals in 3 matches this season. The mathematical model predicts 1.73 expected home goals for Mexico
- Portugal's offensive strength with key players: Portugal features prolific players such as João Félix (2 goals, 4 assists in the last 5 games) and Bruno Fernandes (2 goals, 4 assists in the last 5 games). The model predicts 1.49 expected away goals
- High probability for Both Teams To Score and Over 2.5 Goals: The mathematical analysis indicates a 65% probability for both teams to score and a 62% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match
Risk Factors
- Numerous absentees on both sides: Mexico has 8 injured players, Portugal has 6
- Incomplete data for Portugal: No complete season statistics or recent form for Portugal are available, which complicates the analysis
Overview
Mexico hosts Portugal in a Friendly International match
The game takes place on March 29, 2026, 2:00 AM
The mathematical analysis indicates a home win with a 42% probability
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Mexico shows a strong form curve in the last three games with a WWW record
Mexico won 4-0 at home against Iceland
This was followed by 1-0 away wins against Bolivia and 1-0 against Panama
No recent form data for Portugal's last five games is available
Statistics
Mexico scored an average of 2.0 goals per game in 3 season matches and conceded an average of 0.0 goals
The team kept 3 clean sheets in all 3 season matches
In 2 home games, Mexico scored an average of 2.0 goals and conceded an average of 0.0 goals
No complete season data is available for Portugal
Therefore, a comparison of offensive and defensive statistics for Portugal cannot be made
Head-to-Head
No historical head-to-head matches between Mexico and Portugal are available in the dataset
Key Players
For Mexico, Jesús Gallardo with 1 goal and 1 assist in 3 season appearances (average rating 7.33) and Brian Gutiérrez with 1 goal in 3 season appearances (average rating 7.17) are important players
Goalkeeper Raúl Rangel shows stable form with an average rating of 7.23
For Portugal, João Félix (2 goals, 4 assists in the last 5 games, average rating 7.96) and Bruno Fernandes (2 goals, 4 assists in the last 5 games, average rating 8.12) show strong performances
Rúben Neves scored 1 goal in the last 5 games (average rating 7.69)
Goalkeepers
Mexico's goalkeeper Raúl Rangel kept 3 clean sheets in all 3 season matches
No complete season data is available for Portugal's goalkeeper Rui Silva
Influences
Mexico has scored 4 goals and conceded no goals in 2 home games this season
No data on venue history, weather, or pitch surface influence is available
No specific season statistics for Portugal's away games are available