Friendly International

United States - Belgium

03/28/2026, 07:30 PM

2 : 5
Expected Goals
United States
1.6
Total xG
3.1
Belgium
1.4
Most Likely Scores

1:1

12%

2:1

9%

1:2

8%

2:2

6%

2:0

6%
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

42%

Draw

27%

Away Win

32%

Goals

Over 1.5

82%

Under 1.5

18%

Over 2.5

59%

Under 2.5

41%

Over 3.5

37%

Under 3.5

63%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

68%

Away or Draw

58%

No Draw

73%

Both Score

Yes

63%

No

37%

Key Factors
  • Balanced forecast: Mathematical analysis shows a close race with a 42% home win probability and a 32% away win probability
  • High-scoring game expected: The model predicts a 63% chance for both teams to score and a 59% chance for over 2.5 total goals
  • Key players in form: Folarin Balogun (USA) with 5 goals and Kevin De Bruyne (BEL) with 1 goal are currently the most influential attacking forces
Risk Factors
  • Limited data availability for team season statistics
  • Missing data on direct head-to-head matches between the two teams
Overview

The United States host Belgium in a Friendly International match on March 28, 2026, 7:30 PM. The mathematical analysis indicates a 42% chance for a home win, a 27% chance for a draw, and a 32% chance for an away win for Belgium. The model predicts 1.65 expected goals for the United States and 1.42 for Belgium.

Key Players

For the United States, Folarin Balogun shows strong form with 5 goals and 1 assist in 5 games, and an average rating of 7.23. Weston McKennie contributed 1 goal in 5 games with a rating of 7.11. Christian Pulisic recorded 1 assist in 5 games with a rating of 7.03.

For Belgium, Kevin De Bruyne scored 1 goal in 5 games with a rating of 6.94. Brandon Mechele, starting in defense, proved effective with 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games, holding a rating of 6.80. Thomas Meunier provided 1 assist in 5 games with a rating of 6.52.

Goalkeepers

In goal for the United States is Matt Turner, who made 4 appearances over 360 minutes in his last 5 games, with an average rating of 6.86.

Belgium's goal is defended by Senne Lammens, with 5 appearances over 450 minutes in his last 5 games and an average rating of 6.80.

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