Friendly International
Switzerland - Germany
03/27/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.8
3.2
1.4
1:1
11%2:1
9%1:2
7%2:0
7%2:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
47%
Draw
25%
Away Win
28%
Goals
Over 1.5
85%
Under 1.5
15%
Over 2.5
63%
Under 2.5
37%
Over 3.5
40%
Under 3.5
60%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
72%
Away or Draw
53%
No Draw
75%
Both Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Key Factors
- The mathematical analysis predicts Switzerland as slight favorites with a 47% home win probability
- St. Jakob-Park is a high-scoring venue with an average of 2.6 goals per game and 80% BTTS
- Serge Gnabry (Germany) shows strong form with 3 goals and 1 assist in his last 3 games
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability: No detailed season statistics or direct head-to-head data is available
- Missing form data: Recent form of both teams across all competitions is not included in the dataset
Overview
Switzerland hosts Germany at St. Jakob-Park for a Friendly International match on March 27, 2026, 8:45 PM
The mathematical analysis indicates Switzerland as a slight favorite with a 47% home win probability
Germany's win probability is 28%, while a draw is calculated at 25%
Key Players
For Switzerland, Manuel Akanji stands out in defense with an average rating of 7.25 in his last 4 appearances (350 minutes)
In midfield, Fabian Rieder contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games (392 minutes) with a rating of 7.04
Breel Embolo contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games (157 minutes) to the attack, with a rating of 6.61
For Germany, Serge Gnabry impresses with 3 goals and 1 assist in 3 games (151 minutes), achieving a high rating of 7.99
Joshua Kimmich scored 1 goal in 5 midfield games (441 minutes) with a rating of 7.76
David Raum provided 2 assists in 5 games (442 minutes) and achieved a rating of 7.54
Goalkeepers
For Switzerland, Gregor Kobel is in goal, completing 450 minutes in his last 5 games with an average rating of 6.73
For Germany, Oliver Baumann is expected, having also played 450 minutes in his last 5 games and receiving a rating of 6.30
Influences
The match will be played on grass at St. Jakob-Park
The venue shows an average of 2.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of the last 5 games at St. Jakob-Park
60% of the last 5 games had over 2.5 goals