Friendly International
Netherlands - Norway
03/27/2026, 07:45 PM
Expected Goals
2.0
3.2
1.2
1:1
11%2:1
10%2:0
8%3:1
6%1:2
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
55%
Draw
24%
Away Win
21%
Goals
Over 1.5
84%
Under 1.5
16%
Over 2.5
61%
Under 2.5
39%
Over 3.5
39%
Under 3.5
61%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
79%
Away or Draw
45%
No Draw
76%
Both Score
Yes
61%
No
39%
Key Factors
- Pipeline prediction: Netherlands are favored with a 55% win probability and 1.98 predicted goals
- Venue characteristics: Johan Cruijff Arena offers high offensive potential with an average of 3.2 goals per game
- In-form attacking players: Both teams have several players with direct goal contributions in their last 5 games
Risk Factors
- Netherlands have a long list of injured players, including F. de Jong and M. de Ligt
- Data quality is limited due to missing season data for both teams
- For Norway, key striker E. Haaland is doubtful
Overview
Netherlands host Norway in a Friendly International match at the Johan Cruijff Arena on March 27, 2026, 8:45 PM
The mathematical analysis favors Netherlands with a home win probability of 55%
The model predicts an average of 1.98 goals for Netherlands and 1.18 goals for Norway
Form
The provided dataset does not contain form data for either team
Statistics
The Johan Cruijff Arena has seen an average of 3.2 total goals per game in the last 5 matches
Both teams scored in 3 of the last 5 games at the stadium
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 3 of the last 5 games
Over 1.5 goals were scored in all 5 games
Key Players
For Netherlands, Donyell Malen (2 goals, 1 assist in 5 games), Ryan Gravenberch (1 goal, 1 assist in 5 games), and Teun Koopmeiners (1 assist in 5 games) show good performances
For Norway, Andreas Schjelderup (2 goals, 1 assist in 5 games), Jørgen Strand Larsen (1 goal in 5 games), and Julian Ryerson (2 assists in 5 games) are noteworthy
Goalkeepers
Netherlands goalkeeper Bart Verbruggen played 5 of the last 5 games for 450 minutes with no goal contributions
Form data for Norway goalkeeper Ørjan Nyland shows 0 appearances in the last 5 games
Influences
Matches at the Johan Cruijff Arena averaged 3.2 total goals
Both teams scored in 60% of the last 5 games at the stadium
Over 2.5 goals were scored in 60% of the last 5 games at the stadium
There were over 1.5 goals in all 5 games at the stadium