Friendly International

Austria - Tunisia

06/01/2026, 06:45 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
Austria
1.5
Total xG
2.4
Tunisia
0.9
Most Likely Scores

1:1

14%

1:0

12%

0:0

10%

2:0

10%

2:1

9%
What influences the xG?
AUSTUN

Austria

Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+1.00
Standings advantage (pos 22 vs 46, 24 places gap)
+0.11

Tunisia

Standings disadvantage (pos 46 vs 22, 24 places gap)
-0.16
Rising form (1.5 vs 1.2 season average)
+0.08
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.07
Defensive strength (1.1 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
-0.05
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1.2 goals/match)
-0.01
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.36
+0.36
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

29%

Away Win

21%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

79%

Away or Draw

50%

No Draw

71%

Both Score

Yes

48%

No

52%

Key Factors
  • Austria's offensive strength with an average of 3.0 home goals and 0.5 goals conceded
  • Tunisia's strong away defense with an average of 0.0 goals conceded and 2 clean sheets
  • Tactical contrast: Austria's possession-based play (58% possession) meets Tunisia's counter-attacking approach (43% possession)
Risk Factors
  • Tunisia's average of 2.6 shots on target in the last 5 games could limit their offensive penetration
  • Limited data available for expected goals (xG) in Tunisia's last 5 games
Overview

Austria host Tunisia at Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Friendly International match on June 1, 2026, 8:45 PM

The mathematical analysis sees Austria as the winner with 50% probability

Form

The form of both teams shows different trends

Austria has a current form of WW

This corresponds to 2 wins in a row

Tunisia shows a form of DWDWD

This corresponds to 2 wins and 3 draws

W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss

Statistics

Austria scored an average of 3.0 goals per home game

They conceded an average of 0.5 goals per home game

Tunisia scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game

They conceded an average of 0.0 goals per away game

Tunisia kept 2 clean sheets in away games

An average of 3.5 goals were scored per game at Ernst-Happel-Stadion

Both teams scored in 1 of 2 matches at this stadium

Head-to-Head

No Head-to-Head data is available for this match

Key Players

Marcel Sabitzer (Midfielder) recorded 2 goals and 2 assists this season with an average rating of 8.03

Xaver Schlager (Midfielder) had 1 assist with a rating of 7.63, plus 1 goal in the last 5 games

Stefan Posch (Defender) scored 1 goal and achieved a rating of 7.15

Abdelmouhib Chamakh (Goalkeeper) has a season average rating of 8.06

Omar Rekik (Defender) has a season average rating of 7.21

Ellyes Skhiri (Midfielder) achieved a season average rating of 6.81

Goalkeepers

Alexander Schlager (Austria) has an average season rating of 6.63

His team has kept 1 clean sheet this season

Abdelmouhib Chamakh (Tunisia) has an average season rating of 8.06

His team has kept 2 clean sheets this season

Influences

Austria shows a home advantage with an average of 3.0 goals scored and 0.5 goals conceded per home game

At Ernst-Happel-Stadion, an average of 3.5 goals per game were scored in 2 matches

Statistics show that both teams scored in 1 of 2 matches

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