Friendly International
Scotland - Japan
03/28/2026, 05:00 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
3.1
1.5
1:1
12%2:1
9%1:2
8%2:2
6%2:0
6%Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
38%
Draw
27%
Away Win
36%
Goals
Over 1.5
83%
Under 1.5
17%
Over 2.5
59%
Under 2.5
41%
Over 3.5
37%
Under 3.5
63%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
64%
Away or Draw
62%
No Draw
73%
Both Score
Yes
63%
No
37%
Key Factors
- Balanced forecast: Mathematical analysis shows very close win probabilities of 38% for Scotland and 36% for Japan, with 27% for a draw
- High-scoring match expected: The model predicts a high 63% probability for both teams to score and 59% for over 2.5 total goals
- Squad strength: Both teams have 100% of their active goal production available according to squad analysis
Risk Factors
- Limited data availability: Missing information on seasonal team statistics, last 5 games, and head-to-head encounters limits the analysis
- Scotland injury concerns: Scotland will be without K. McLean (Ankle Injury) and A. Hickey (Knock) as well as other players
- Japan injury concerns: Japan are missing important players like T. Minamino (Cruciate Ligament Injury) and W. Endo (Foot Injury)
Overview
Scotland host Japan at Ibrox Stadium for a Friendly International match on March 28, 2026, 6:00 PM. The mathematical analysis suggests a very balanced encounter, with both teams having almost identical win probabilities.
Form
No data is available for the current form of either team (last 5 games) or cross-team season statistics.
Statistics
Ibrox Stadium, Scotland's home ground, has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games (40%), and only 1 out of 5 games (20%) had over 2.5 goals.
Head-to-Head
No previous head-to-head encounters between Scotland and Japan are available in the dataset.
Key Players
For Scotland, Scott McTominay and John McGinn each scored 2 goals in their last 5 games. Andrew Robertson contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 4 appearances. For Japan, Ayase Ueda scored 4 goals in his last 5 games. Yuito Suzuki recorded 2 goals and 1 assist in his last 5 games. Takumi Minamino scored 2 goals in his last 5 games.
Goalkeepers
Scotland's squad lists Liam Kelly, Zander Clark, Cieran Slicker, Angus Gunn, Robby McCrorie, Scott Bain, Craig Gordon, Ross Doohan, and Callan McKenna as goalkeepers, none of whom played in the last 5 games. For Japan, Zion Suzuki is the only listed goalkeeper with 3 appearances in his last 5 games.
Influences
Ibrox Stadium has seen an average of 2.0 goals per game in 5 matches. Both teams scored in 2 out of 5 games (40%), and only 1 out of 5 games (20%) had over 2.5 goals. The dataset does not include information regarding the influence of the pitch surface or weather conditions on team performance.