Friendly International

Scotland - Curacao

05/30/2026, 12:00 PM

4 : 1
Expected Goals
Scotland
1.2
Total xG
2.4
Curacao
1.2
Most Likely Scores

1:1

15%

0:0

11%

1:0

9%

0:1

9%

2:1

8%
What influences the xG?
SCOCUR

Scotland

Attack weakness (0.71x league average)
-0.48
Small sample (1 matches) - regression to mean
+0.06

Curacao

Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
+0.03
Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

35%

Draw

31%

Away Win

34%

Goals

Over 1.5

71%

Under 1.5

29%

Over 2.5

44%

Under 2.5

56%

Over 3.5

23%

Under 3.5

77%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

66%

Away or Draw

65%

No Draw

69%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • Tactical advantage: Scotland averaged 4.5 shots on target compared to Curacao's 2.0
  • Form disparity: Scotland has 1 win in their last 4 games, while Curacao suffered 2 losses in their last 2
  • Pipeline prediction: The mathematical analysis indicates a close contest with 35% for a home win, 31% for a draw, and 34% for an away win
Risk Factors
  • Curacao averaged only 2.0 shots on target in their last 2 games
  • Curacao conceded an average of 3.5 goals per away game
Overview

Scotland host Curacao at Hampden Park in a Friendly International match. The game is scheduled for May 30, 2026, 1:00 PM. This match offers both teams an opportunity to test their squads

Form

Scotland's recent form is 'LWLL', representing 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses in their last 4 matches. Curacao's form is 'LL', with 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses in their last 2 games. Both teams have suffered recent defeats

Statistics

Scotland averaged 0 goals scored and 1 goal conceded in home matches. Curacao scored an average of 0.5 goals per away game and conceded 3.5 goals per away game. At Hampden Park, the average total goals in the last recorded match was 1.0. In this game, there were no instances of both teams scoring or more than 2.5 goals

Key Players

For Scotland, Andrew Robertson scored 1 goal in his last 3 appearances. George Hirst scored 1 goal in his last 5 games. Scott McKenna shows a rising form with an average rating of 6.85 in his last 5 matches. For Curacao, Juninho Bacuna provided 2 assists in his last 5 games with an average rating of 7.05. Deveron Fonville achieved an average rating of 7.00 in his last 5 games. Tahith Chong played in his last 2 games, without scoring any goals or providing assists

Goalkeepers

Craig Gordon is expected in goal for Scotland. Curacao will rely on Eloy Room. Both teams have not achieved any clean sheets this season

Influences

The match will be played on grass at Hampden Park. Scotland's home statistics show 0 goals scored and 1 goal conceded in home games. Curacao conceded an average of 3.5 goals per away game. The only available statistic for Hampden Park shows an average of 1.0 total goals per game, with no instances of both teams scoring or more than 2.5 goals

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