Friendly International

England - New Zealand

06/06/2026, 08:00 PM

1 : 0
Expected Goals
England
1.6
Total xG
2.6
New Zealand
1.0
Most Likely Scores

1:1

13%

2:0

10%

2:1

10%

1:2

6%

3:0

5%
What influences the xG?
ENGNZ

England

Attack weakness (0.69x league average)
-0.24
Standings advantage (pos 4 vs 83, 79 places gap)
+0.11
Small sample (2 matches) - regression to mean
-0.07
100% of goal output missing (only 0% available)

New Zealand

Defensive weakness (1.3 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.24
Standings disadvantage (pos 83 vs 4, 79 places gap)
-0.17
4 of last 5 matches with 0-1 goals (1 goals/match)
+0.01
Small sample (1 matches) - regression to mean
+0.01
54% of goal output missing (only 93% available)

League

High-scoring league (2.9 goals/match)
+0.37
+0.37
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    New Zealand with Sarpreet Singh: 0.6 goals/game. Without: 2 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

50%

Draw

28%

Away Win

22%

Goals

Over 1.5

74%

Under 1.5

26%

Over 2.5

48%

Under 2.5

52%

Over 3.5

26%

Under 3.5

74%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

78%

Away or Draw

50%

No Draw

72%

Both Score

Yes

51%

No

49%

Key Factors
  • The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for England with a 50% probability
  • England exhibits a possession-dominant playing style with an average of 62% possession and 4.5 shots on target per game, while New Zealand plays a more counter-oriented style (45% possession, 3.4 shots on target)
  • New Zealand is currently scoring more frequently (1.0) than their season average (0.9)
Risk Factors
  • For England, according to the squad analysis, only 0% of the usual goal threat is available
  • New Zealand has only 3 days of rest since their last match
  • New Zealand concedes an average of 2.33 goals per game this season
Overview

England hosts New Zealand at Raymond James Stadium for an international Friendly International match on June 6, 2026, 9:00 PM. The game serves as preparation for both teams, allowing them to test new tactics and players.

Form

England's form in the last four matches is LWDL (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss), consisting of 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses. Their last result was a loss. New Zealand recorded LLLWL in their last five matches, meaning 1 win and 4 losses, with their last result also being a loss.

Statistics

England has averaged 0.5 goals scored per game and conceded 1.0 goal per game in 2 matches this season. New Zealand has averaged 1.33 goals scored per game and conceded 2.33 goals per game in 3 matches. For England, 1 game saw both teams score, and 0 games had over 2.5 goals. New Zealand had 1 game with both teams scoring and 2 games with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-Head

No previous head-to-head meetings between England and New Zealand were found in the provided data.

Key Players

For England, Harry Kane (5 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games), Ollie Watkins (6 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games), and Morgan Rogers (2 goals, 3 assists in last 5 games, form rising) are key offensive players. For New Zealand, Elijah Just (1 goal in last 4 games), Liberato Cacace (1 goal in 2 games, form rising), and Joe Bell (1 assist in last 4 games) have shown good performances.

Goalkeepers

England's goalkeeper Jordan Pickford has kept 0 clean sheets this season. Max Crocombe, New Zealand's goalkeeper, also has 0 clean sheets this season.

Influences

England has scored an average of 0.5 goals and conceded 1.0 goal in home matches.

Ready to Get Started?

Create an account and discover data-driven football analyses. Cancel anytime.