Friendly International

Colombia - Jordan

06/07/2026, 11:00 PM

2 : 0
Expected Goals
Colombia
2.2
Total xG
3.4
Jordan
1.1
Most Likely Scores

1:1

10%

2:1

10%

2:0

9%

3:1

7%

3:0

6%
What influences the xG?
COLJOR

Colombia

Small sample (3 matches) - regression to mean
-0.93
Defensive weakness (1.4 conceded vs 1.8 league avg)
-0.32
Standings advantage (pos 13 vs 62, 49 places gap)
+0.15
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (2 goals/match)
-0.03

Jordan

Attack strength (1.62x league average)
+1.11
Small sample (1 matches) - regression to mean
-0.86
Defensive weakness (1.6 conceded vs 1.1 league avg)
+0.55
Standings disadvantage (pos 62 vs 13, 49 places gap)
-0.20
3 of last 5 matches with 2+ goals (1.4 goals/match)
-0.03

League

High-scoring league (2.8 goals/match)
+0.33
+0.33
The Lab
Statistical patterns from recent matches
  • 1
    Jordan with Mousa Tamari: 1.2 goals/game. Without: 0 goals/game (6 of 8 games)

  • 2
    Colombia: first goal in 5 of 6 games (83%)

  • 3
    Colombia: 5 consecutive games with 3+ goals (last 7 games)

  • 4
    Colombia: 50% of all goals between minutes 76-90 (7 of 14)

  • 5
    Colombia with Luis SuĂĄrez: 2.4 goals/game. Without: 1 goals/game (5 of 7 games)

Model Probabilities

Match Result

Home Win

61%

Draw

22%

Away Win

17%

Goals

Over 1.5

86%

Under 1.5

14%

Over 2.5

65%

Under 2.5

35%

Over 3.5

43%

Under 3.5

57%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

83%

Away or Draw

39%

No Draw

78%

Both Score

Yes

61%

No

39%

Key Factors
  • Pipeline prediction: Colombia is rated as a clear favorite with a 61% win probability
  • Colombia averaged 6.4 shots on target in their last 5 games (offensively strong)
  • Jordan's defense is vulnerable away, conceding an average of 4.0 goals per away game
Risk Factors
  • Colombia has only 6 days rest since their last match
  • Jordan has only 7 days rest since their last match
  • Jordan's tactics are counter-oriented with an average of 4.2 shots on target
Overview

Colombia host Jordan at Snapdragon Stadium for a Friendly International match on June 8, 2026, 12:00 AM. The mathematical analysis predicts a clear favorite role for Colombia with a 61% win probability.

Form

Colombia (W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss) shows a form of WWLLW in their last five games with 3 wins and 2 losses. Their last match was a win. Jordan's last five matches show a form of LDDDL with 0 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses. Their last match ended in a loss.

Statistics

Colombia has averaged 1.67 goals scored per game this season and conceded 2.0 goals per game. Jordan has also averaged 1.67 goals scored per game but conceded 2.67 goals per game. Both teams scored in all 3 season games. At Snapdragon Stadium, the last 5 games have seen an average of 4.6 goals per match. Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 games, and 4 out of 5 games ended with over 2.5 goals.

Head-to-Head

The provided dataset does not list any previous head-to-head meetings between Colombia and Jordan.

Key Players

For Colombia, Luis SuĂĄrez stands out, contributing 5 goals and 2 assists in 5 recent appearances. Luis DĂ­az scored 1 goal and provided 1 assist in 3 season games. James RodrĂ­guez showed good form with 3 assists in 4 recent games, despite no season goals. For Jordan, Mousa Tamari was in form with 1 goal and 1 assist in 5 games. Odeh Fakhouri scored 1 goal in 4 games, and Noor Al-Rawabdeh provided 2 assists in 4 games.

Goalkeepers

Camilo Vargas, Colombia's goalkeeper, has not kept any clean sheets this season. Yazeed Abulaila, Jordan's goalkeeper, also has no clean sheets recorded this season.

Influences

Snapdragon Stadium is known for high-scoring matches, with an average of 4.6 total goals per game in the last 5 encounters. The playing surface is natural grass. Colombia averaged 1.67 goals scored and 2.0 goals conceded in home games. Jordan conceded an average of 4.0 goals per away game.

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