Friendly International
Netherlands - Ecuador
03/31/2026, 06:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.5
2.8
1.3
Key Factors
- Netherlands' home squad strength is significantly reduced, with only 50% of the usual starting eleven strength available according to the data
- The Philips Stadion shows a strong tendency for high-scoring matches, averaging 3.6 total goals per game and a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches
- Ecuador's recent form is stable, with 1 win and 4 draws in their last 5 games, indicating resilience
Risk Factors
- The dataset provides no historical head-to-head data between these two teams
- Data for expected goals (xG) for Ecuador's recent five matches is largely incomplete, affecting detailed offensive analysis
Overview
Netherlands host Ecuador in a Friendly International match at Philips Stadion on March 31, 2026, 7:45 PM
Netherlands has scored 2 goals and conceded 1 goal in one season game
Ecuador has scored 1 goal and conceded 1 goal in one season game
The mathematical analysis predicts a home win for Netherlands with 40%, a draw with 28%, and an away win for Ecuador with 32%
The model expects 1.48 goals for Netherlands and 1.33 goals for Ecuador
Form
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Netherlands shows a form of W, indicating a win
They have achieved 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 games
Their last result was a 2-1 win against Norway at home
Ecuador shows a form of DDDWD
They have achieved 1 win, 4 draws, and 0 losses in their last 5 games
Their last result was a 1-1 draw against Morocco away
Ecuador is on a streak of 1 consecutive draw
Statistics
Netherlands averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 goal conceded in their season game
Ecuador averaged 1.0 goal scored and 1.0 goal conceded in their season game
The Philips Stadion averages 3.6 total goals per game
Both teams scored in 4 out of 5 recent matches at this venue (80% BTTS rate)
All 5 recent matches at the Philips Stadion saw over 2.5 goals (100% Over 2.5 rate)
Head-to-Head
The provided dataset does not contain any previous direct encounters between Netherlands and Ecuador
Key Players
For Netherlands, midfielder Xavi Simons shows a rising form trend with 2 goals in his last 4 games
His last 5 average rating is 7.48
Attacker Donyell Malen has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in his last 5 games
His form trend is also rising
Attacker Cody Gakpo has a season average rating of 7.37
For Ecuador, attacker John Yeboah has contributed 1 goal and 1 assist in his last 5 games, with a season average rating of 7.25
Midfielder Moisés Caicedo holds a season average rating of 7.32
Attacker Enner Valencia scored 1 goal in his last 4 games
Goalkeepers
The confirmed starting goalkeeper for Netherlands is Mark Flekken
The confirmed starting goalkeeper for Ecuador is Gonzalo Valle
Neither team has recorded a clean sheet in their season game
Influences
The match will be played on a grass surface at Philips Stadion
The venue history suggests high-scoring games, with an average of 3.6 goals per game
Both teams scored in 80% of recent matches at this venue
All recent matches at Philips Stadion had over 2.5 goals