Friendly International
Croatia - Slovenia
06/07/2026, 06:45 PM
Expected Goals
1.6
2.8
1.2
1:1
13%2:1
9%2:0
8%1:2
7%2:2
6%What influences the xG?
Croatia
Slovenia
League
Model Probabilities
Match Result
Home Win
45%
Draw
28%
Away Win
27%
Goals
Over 1.5
78%
Under 1.5
22%
Over 2.5
52%
Under 2.5
48%
Over 3.5
30%
Under 3.5
70%
Double Chance
Home or Draw
73%
Away or Draw
55%
No Draw
72%
Both Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Key Factors
- Croatia's starting XI shows only 50% of the usual goal-scoring threat
- Croatia conceded an average of 2.0 goals in their last three games and has two consecutive losses
- The Stadion Anđelko Herjavec venue historically showed an average of 3.0 goals per game with 100% BTTS
Risk Factors
- Slovenia had only 3 days of rest since their last match
- Croatia recorded an average of only 2.3 shots on target in their last 3 games
- Slovenia is missing B. Šeško (Leg Injury) and I. Vekiš (Unknown Injury)
Overview
Croatia host Slovenia in a Friendly International match at Stadion Anđelko Herjavec
The game takes place on June 7, 2026, 7:45 PM
The mathematical analysis slightly favors Croatia with a 45% probability of a home win
A draw is calculated at 28%, and an away win for Slovenia at 27%
Form
Croatia's recent form is WLL, which corresponds to one win and two losses
Croatia's last two matches ended in a loss
Slovenia's recent form is LWD, with one win, one draw, and one loss
Slovenia's last game ended in a draw
W = Win, D = Draw, L = Loss
Statistics
Croatia scored an average of 1.0 goals per game this season and conceded 2.0 goals per game
Slovenia has an average of 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 goals conceded per game
Both teams scored in two out of three of Croatia's games and two out of three of Slovenia's games
Two out of three of Croatia's games ended with over 2.5 goals, compared to one out of three for Slovenia
The Stadion Anđelko Herjavec venue, in its only recorded match, showed an average of 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring and exceeding the 2.5 goals mark
Head-to-Head
In two direct encounters to date, both Croatia and Slovenia have one win each, with zero draws
Croatia scored a total of 3 goals, while Slovenia scored 1 goal
Croatia won the last meeting on September 7, 2021, with a 3:0 score
Key Players
For Croatia, Ivan Perišić (2 goals, 2 assists in last 5 games, rising form), Andrej Kramarić (2 goals, 1 assist in last 5 games, rising form), and Martin Erlić (1 goal in last 3 games, rising form) show good performances
For Slovenia, Jaka Bijol (1 assist in last 4 games, rising form), goalkeeper Jan Oblak (average rating 7.94 in last 2 games), and Zan Vipotnik (2 season goals) are notable
Goalkeepers
Dominik Livaković, Croatia's goalkeeper, has not kept a clean sheet in 3 season appearances
Jan Oblak, Slovenia's goalkeeper, has not been in action this season
Slovenia has also not achieved any clean sheets this season
Influences
The Stadion Anđelko Herjavec venue, in its only recorded match, showed an average of 3.0 goals, with both teams scoring and exceeding the 2.5 goals mark
Slovenia scored an average of 1.5 goals and conceded 1.5 goals in away games